{ "generatedAt": "2026-08-25T07:40:17.611Z", "mode": "live", "feedOk": true, "feedError": null, "pollIntervalMs": 300000, "fullRefreshMs": 1800000, "bootstrap": { "appTitle": "Hormuz Watch", "seededAt": "2026-04-23T09:30:00-04:00", "warStartDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z", "methodologyNote": "This dashboard mixes live headline monitoring with source-linked best-effort estimates. Strait status is headline-classified. Market and reserve modules combine direct figures with incident reporting. Spending and casualty cards are approximation-first and should be read as live working estimates, not official ledgers.", "strait": { "currentStatusCode": "restricted", "currentStatus": "Restricted / effectively closed", "tone": "danger", "summary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures.", "facts": [ "Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after multiple vessels were fired upon while transiting near Hormuz.", "Reuters on April 21 reported the strait remained effectively closed and said only three ships had passed through in the previous 24 hours.", "Reuters on April 17 reported Iranian statements that passage for commercial vessels was completely open during a truce window." ], "bootstrapHeadlines": [ { "id": "seed-1", "title": "Three vessels hit by gunfire in Strait of Hormuz, crews safe", "link": "https://wsau.com/2026/04/22/three-vessels-hit-by-gunfire-in-strait-of-hormuz-crews-safe/", "pubDate": "Wed, 22 Apr 2026 03:33:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after multiple ships were fired upon while transiting the waterway.", "source": "Reuters" }, { "id": "seed-2", "title": "US oil prices rise as US-Iran peace talks remain uncertain", "link": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "pubDate": "Tue, 21 Apr 2026 18:52:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters reported the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed and that only three ships had passed through in the previous 24 hours.", "source": "Reuters" }, { "id": "seed-3", "title": "Wall Street indexes rally after Iran says Strait of Hormuz 'completely open'", "link": "https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/wall-st-futures-climb-on-middle-east-peace-hopes-as-investors-eye-strong-finish-to-week-4619850", "pubDate": "Fri, 17 Apr 2026 05:42:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters said Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted that passage for commercial vessels was completely open during the truce.", "source": "Reuters" } ], "sources": [ { "label": "Reuters / WSAU - ships hit by gunfire", "url": "https://wsau.com/2026/04/22/three-vessels-hit-by-gunfire-in-strait-of-hormuz-crews-safe/", "date": "2026-04-22" }, { "label": "Reuters / Investing - effectively closed with only three ships passing", "url": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "date": "2026-04-21" }, { "label": "Reuters / Investing - Iran says the strait was completely open", "url": "https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/wall-st-futures-climb-on-middle-east-peace-hopes-as-investors-eye-strong-finish-to-week-4619850", "date": "2026-04-17" } ] }, "quotes": [ { "country": "United States", "official": "President Donald Trump", "role": "Statement on proposed deal parameters", "date": "2026-08-01", "excerpt": "Immediate, Complete, and Total OPENING OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT", "whatItMeans": "Washington describes unrestricted reopening as an agreed parameter and links it to a wider nuclear settlement.", "contradiction": "Iran says its talks are with Oman and that the Strait will not return to its prewar status.", "sourceLabel": "Associated Press report quoting Trump", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e61e88c14d8aca48c1c56368650baea5" }, { "country": "Iran", "official": "Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei", "role": "Statement on Iran-Oman technical talks", "date": "2026-08-04", "excerpt": "safe inbound and outbound shipping lanes", "whatItMeans": "Tehran frames reopening as a bilateral Iran-Oman mechanism that preserves both countries' sovereign rights and security interests.", "contradiction": "The U.S. says no party should control passage or require approval, while Iran is negotiating an expressly controlled route.", "sourceLabel": "Associated Press", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-war-strait-hormuz-oman-diplomacy-6587f90f2ab5beec373ce5fabf637541" }, { "country": "Pakistan", "official": "Foreign Ministry spokesperson", "role": "Briefing on implementation of the U.S.-Iran memorandum", "date": "2026-07-16", "excerpt": "Pakistan will continue to encourage all sides to end the violence and resume technical-level talks", "whatItMeans": "Islamabad treats the June memorandum as damaged but still usable and emphasizes process over public victory claims.", "contradiction": "That mediation-first position sits between Washington's coercive deadlines and Tehran's insistence that Strait governance is not a U.S. negotiation.", "sourceLabel": "Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs", "sourceUrl": "https://mofa.gov.pk/press-releases/transcript-of-the-press-briefing-by-the-spokesperson-on-thursday-16-july-2026?mission=media-briefings" }, { "country": "Israel", "official": "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu", "role": "Statement before Washington visit", "date": "2026-07-27", "excerpt": "safeguard our security and also to expand the circle of peace around us", "whatItMeans": "Israel publicly pairs diplomacy with a demand to preserve freedom of military action against perceived threats.", "contradiction": "A durable U.S.-Iran settlement requires reciprocal restraint, while Israel says its security choices cannot be constrained by the deal.", "sourceLabel": "Prime Minister's Office of Israel", "sourceUrl": "https://www.gov.il/en/pages/pm-netanyahu-departs-on-official-visit-to-washington-27-jul-2026" } ], "marketSignals": [ { "key": "wti", "label": "WTI Front-Month", "value": 84.49, "displayValue": "$84.49/bbl", "changeText": "-3.8% versus previous close", "tone": "warning", "summary": "Headline-sensitive proxy for how much the market is pricing Hormuz disruption into U.S.-linked crude.", "sourceLabel": "Yahoo Finance delayed futures quote", "sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CL%3DF", "asOf": "2026-08-25T07:27:35.000Z", "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "brent", "label": "Brent Front-Month", "value": 91.57, "displayValue": "$91.57/bbl", "changeText": "-2.4% versus previous close", "tone": "warning", "summary": "Global crude benchmark most directly exposed to a Hormuz shipping shock.", "sourceLabel": "Yahoo Finance delayed futures quote", "sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BZ%3DF", "asOf": "2026-08-25T07:26:34.000Z", "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "vlcc", "label": "VLCC Gulf Day Rate", "value": 165000, "displayValue": "about $165k/day risk premium", "changeText": "Gulf loading premium versus Oman | public live feed not available", "tone": "danger", "summary": "A July shipping-market assessment put the Gulf-loading VLCC premium near $165,000 per day, down from roughly $370,000 at the early-May peak but still extreme.", "sourceLabel": "Breakwave Advisors shipping-market assessment", "sourceUrl": "https://www.breakwaveadvisors.com/insights/2026/7/8/irans-latest-challenge-to-us-backed-hormuz-corridor-unlikely-to-change-risk-calculus", "asOf": "2026-07-08T12:00:00-04:00", "fetchStatus": "manual", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "insurance", "label": "War-Risk Insurance", "value": 2500000, "displayValue": "up to $2.5M per VLCC voyage", "changeText": "reported single-voyage additional premium | public live feed not available", "tone": "danger", "summary": "Reported war-risk quotes remained as high as $2.5 million for one VLCC voyage versus roughly $125,000 in peacetime; actual quotes vary by vessel, flag, ownership, route, and day.", "sourceLabel": "Straits market tracker with JWC context", "sourceUrl": "https://straits.live/strait-of-hormuz-war-risk-insurance-rate", "asOf": "2026-07-26T12:00:00Z", "fetchStatus": "manual", "fetchError": null } ], "incidents": [ { "id": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:44:50 GMT", "date": "2026-08-25", "location": "Central channel", "title": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com", "summary": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz upi.com", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "upi.com", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQLUFYakxBZUI5OWNmRXRBMGk2aTZsdHpCOTFWSWpfWFVZVEpKcHY2cE9KV210QzZDeXpibGJJbFJzWWI1Z0lWdjlvMHJEbndpT1FhUFJLalEwdC13RGVyU0RSSGNZVlZrVnpTZmJZWW1SMDV5YWVXaUstMW1NdDZ5WVlqR2VWXzlQTnFfSGk4SVFUZnkxZ09weNIBngFBVV95cUxQckhFdFAtMGdJOV9PRTh6XzNBUldVaVVabEVCSVY5a0VwXzJsMURaUjVVN094WlRxWjczbU5kS0ctcmFqSEpUd1VXUTlPNDZQM1BGb1U0RGxqZFFzYlRaQmlfLXJubk1zUTVNN0FPNTdhTG9iUkc2WVZBa2pJbDhYcUk1M0x6b25aZVduTjAyQ2llWmw5OU5CYTVvLTZBdw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "locationConfidence": "inferred-zone" }, { "id": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack - Seatrade Maritime News::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 06:08:41 GMT", "date": "2026-08-25", "location": "Approach to Musandam", "title": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack - Seatrade Maritime News", "summary": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack Seatrade Maritime News", "severity": "high", "x": 76, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "Seatrade Maritime News", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxNbDI5aVNpbzRzbXBBc0tsZFpyWkM5b0xwYlJnM0RhWWdTNHpnMEdZVWtWcm15MXF4SGpLV3VsNlhqcGNaaHhqSVg5UERCRkNiaXNFRFpXSWh6VVRlZzVqTUU4RmRRU1JSdXZPVmpDNml5QXp6Y0ROck93bVNTWXIxUWdUc1M4QmlWY2llU0hn?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "locationConfidence": "inferred-zone" }, { "id": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 20:07:17 GMT", "date": "2026-08-24", "location": "Eastbound lane", "title": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera", "summary": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea Al Jazeera", "severity": "high", "x": 68, "y": 36, "sourceLabel": "Al Jazeera", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPdkNmMGllenFfdWxNVTJYWTF5b3h1Y3lVSmlhSmEwUHZjUC1jRTVQRUZCZ1p2SDFaaWZSRTdVOHNta2JwaFpTSjZyUHgzVUJ4WDdHUjJYeGdXR3Vycm1sdnRjSmdUdmwxQjVuU0tLTURmWXU4S2RRWmlVc3FfNTBzajUwQ0tNX1Z1WWZ30gGQAUFVX3lxTE9nNGYwUkF5QTdrZmVZSnEzSUdXLUt0YURGSFRiTXNQcHZEUXlkemFzTFBxX3JXRzRwQmViNHJJZjdvR0dyNFdvd3piWlpmbVZhNzVaZ1BUTUVUckNmNVpYeW9SQVA4eGtIZHcxc0xiRXMyeGhaOFgwbC1TUG9kX1VaNWU1MTFwbUQ1dFZFVE0ydA?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "locationConfidence": "inferred-zone" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-04", "date": "2026-08-04", "location": "Oman-side corridor", "title": "Cargo ship reports an unknown-projectile strike", "summary": "UKMTO-linked reporting said a cargo ship was hit in the Strait off Oman while route negotiations continued.", "severity": "high", "x": 76, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-war-strait-hormuz-oman-diplomacy-6587f90f2ab5beec373ce5fabf637541" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-01-a", "date": "2026-08-01", "location": "Near Limah, Oman", "title": "Tanker struck on the southern route", "summary": "A tanker reported being struck near the Oman-side route as the United States held off on a planned strike package.", "severity": "high", "x": 75, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e61e88c14d8aca48c1c56368650baea5" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-01-b", "date": "2026-08-01", "location": "Musandam approach", "title": "Second vessel reports a nearby explosion", "summary": "A separate vessel reported an explosion close by during the same high-risk transit period.", "severity": "high", "x": 80, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e61e88c14d8aca48c1c56368650baea5" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-20", "date": "2026-07-20", "location": "UAE-side approach", "title": "Attacked vessel abandoned while burning", "summary": "UKMTO reported an attacked vessel off the UAE side was abandoned and remained adrift and ablaze.", "severity": "high", "x": 63, "y": 27, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e28a54c4dbe41c9f22046ed054005c1d" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-17", "date": "2026-07-17", "location": "Oman-side transit lane", "title": "Tanker comes under attack near Oman", "summary": "A tanker reported an attack while traveling through the Strait on the route closest to Oman.", "severity": "high", "x": 73, "y": 39, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/2ad0cfe592eb258cb15a9eb04411d58a" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-12", "date": "2026-07-12", "location": "Central Strait", "title": "Container ship attack leaves crew member missing", "summary": "An Iranian attack on a container ship preceded a large U.S. strike response and renewed conflicting closure claims.", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press war timeline", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-timeline-trump-hormuz-war-ceasefire-04da58cbae991183f8b52ef5bf615963" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-07-a", "date": "2026-07-07", "location": "8 NM east of Limah, Oman", "title": "LNG tanker hit; engine-room fire reported", "summary": "JMIC recorded an unknown projectile striking the port-side engine room while the tanker traveled southbound through the Strait.", "severity": "high", "x": 75, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "UKMTO/JMIC update 068", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-068-jmic-advisory-note-07-july.pdf" } ], "energyReserves": [ { "country": "Japan", "status": "Large buffer, actively drawing", "daysRemaining": 233, "bufferText": "233 days of total oil stocks under Japan's statutory measure at the end of March, before continued emergency releases", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": "2026-11-19T00:00:00Z", "exposure": "Very high exposure to Gulf oil imports.", "sourceLabel": "Dentsu Institute summary of official stock data", "sourceUrl": "https://dcer.dentsusoken.com/en/reports/nt26002/", "asOf": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z", "projectionState": "countdown", "projectionLabel": "85 days until projected stress", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "South Korea", "status": "Near-term supply secured", "daysRemaining": null, "bufferText": "The government said July and August crude supply was secured at 110% of the prior year's level and September was 90% secured", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-07-21T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": null, "exposure": "Extremely import-dependent and actively rerouting supply.", "sourceLabel": "Yonhap citing South Korea's industry ministry", "sourceUrl": "https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260721006100320", "asOf": "2026-07-21T00:00:00Z", "projectionState": "no-countdown", "projectionLabel": "No precise countdown", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "India", "status": "Projection expired", "daysRemaining": 25, "bufferText": "about 25 days of crude reserves was the last clean public figure at the start of March", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-03-04T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": "2026-03-29T00:00:00Z", "exposure": "High reliance on Gulf crude and LPG; recent reporting says alternatives are running thin.", "sourceLabel": "Reuters pickup / Economic Times", "sourceUrl": "https://government.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/india-eyes-alternative-energy-supplies-amid-strait-of-hormuz-disruption/129007363", "asOf": "2026-03-04T00:00:00Z", "projectionState": "past-stress", "projectionLabel": "149 days past projected stress", "isPastStress": true }, { "country": "United States", "status": "No immediate cliff", "daysRemaining": null, "bufferText": "409 million barrels in the SPR on April 10, plus more than 400 million barrels of commercial crude inventories", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": null, "exposure": "Less directly exposed than Asian importers, but still highly exposed to price shock.", "sourceLabel": "EIA", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67504", "asOf": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z", "projectionState": "no-countdown", "projectionLabel": "No precise countdown", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "China", "status": "Big stockpile, limited transparency", "daysRemaining": null, "bufferText": "nearly 1.4 billion barrels of strategic crude estimated as of December 2025", "countdownAnchorDate": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": null, "exposure": "Massive reserves, but current public day-cover is not transparent enough for a precise countdown.", "sourceLabel": "EIA", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67504", "asOf": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z", "projectionState": "no-countdown", "projectionLabel": "No precise countdown", "isPastStress": false } ], "spending": { "title": "Approximate U.S. war spending", "displayScenario": "low", "summary": "Use the range, not a single number. The low case follows the third-party cost ticker, the middle case follows a CSIS-style sustained-operations path, and the high case uses the Pentagon opening burn rate as a stress test.", "scenarios": { "low": { "key": "low", "label": "Low", "estimateMode": "Iran Cost Tracker low case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1000000000, "whyThisNumber": "Iran War Cost Tracker says it uses the Pentagon's first-six-days figure and then applies a lower ongoing burn rate of $1B/day instead of extending the opening surge rate across the whole war.", "warning": "This is a third-party methodology, not an official U.S. government live total. It is lower than the old dashboard estimate because it assumes the post-opening burn rate cooled to $1B/day.", "sources": [ { "label": "Iran War Cost Tracker methodology page", "url": "https://iran-cost-ticker.com/", "date": "2026-08-25" } ], "sourceKind": "live-third-party" }, "mid": { "key": "mid", "label": "Mid", "estimateMode": "CSIS-style sustained operations", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 16500000000, "knownDays": 12, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1150000000, "whyThisNumber": "Starts from the CSIS day-12 update and then assumes a still-elevated but lower sustained-operations burn rate instead of keeping the opening surge forever.", "warning": "Analytic mid-case for directional planning, not an official total.", "sources": [ { "label": "CSIS day-12 war cost update", "url": "https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-war-cost-estimate-update-113-billion-day-6-165-billion-day-12", "date": "2026-03-13" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] }, "high": { "key": "high", "label": "High", "estimateMode": "Pentagon-derived opening-surge stress case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1883333333, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the Pentagon-reported opening burn rate from the first six days as a high-side stress case for what costs look like if elevated operating tempo persists.", "warning": "Useful as a ceiling scenario, but very likely too high for a long-run central estimate.", "sources": [ { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] } }, "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, "casualties": { "asOf": "2026-07-26T00:00:00Z", "civilianLowerBound": 1746, "militaryLowerBound": 1281, "unresolvedOrMixed": 5171, "summary": "These are minimum source-linked buckets, not a single authoritative death toll. Iran's detailed April split is retained because newer official totals do not cleanly separate civilians and military personnel; Lebanon and other mixed counts remain unresolved rather than being guessed into a category.", "breakdown": [ { "side": "Iran", "civilian": 1701, "military": 1221, "other": 714, "note": "HRANA's detailed April 7 split. A newer Iranian Health Ministry total does not provide a compatible civilian/military split." }, { "side": "Israel", "civilian": 26, "military": 40, "other": 0, "note": "26 civilians reported in the direct Iran front; about 40 soldiers and a contractor reported killed on the Lebanon/northern Israel front by August 6." }, { "side": "United States", "civilian": 0, "military": 18, "other": 0, "note": "AP reported 18 acknowledged U.S. troop deaths by late July, including four moved by the Pentagon into a separate Overseas Operations category." }, { "side": "Lebanon / Hezbollah front", "civilian": null, "military": null, "other": 4319, "note": "July 8 compiled total; source material did not provide a reliable Hezbollah/civilian split, so the entire count remains unresolved here." }, { "side": "Iraq and other regional spillover", "civilian": null, "military": null, "other": 119, "note": "July 8 compiled count includes mixed PMF, civilian, security, and other categories." }, { "side": "Gulf states and Syria", "civilian": 19, "military": 2, "other": 19, "note": "Named public totals across Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Syria; unclear and crash-related deaths remain in the mixed column." } ], "sources": [ { "label": "JINSA July 7-8 regional casualty compilation", "url": "https://jinsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Iran-War-Update-7.8.26.pdf", "date": "2026-07-08" }, { "label": "AP - Pentagon recategorized four of 18 acknowledged U.S. troop deaths", "url": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-war-casualty-count-pentagon-us-troops-4c578fc74746052627b1c87845fdc0d5", "date": "2026-07-26" }, { "label": "Al Jazeera country-by-country tracker citing ministries and military authorities", "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/us-israel-attacks-on-iran-death-toll-and-injuries-live-tracker", "date": "2026-06-10" } ] }, "archiveAutomation": { "storageMode": "blob", "durable": true } }, "straitStatus": { "code": "restricted", "label": "Restricted / effectively closed", "tone": "danger", "summary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, "spendBand": { "displayScenario": "low", "summary": "Use the range, not a single number. The low case follows the third-party cost ticker, the middle case follows a CSIS-style sustained-operations path, and the high case uses the Pentagon opening burn rate as a stress test.", "scenarios": { "low": { "key": "low", "label": "Low", "estimateMode": "Iran Cost Tracker low case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1000000000, "whyThisNumber": "Iran War Cost Tracker says it uses the Pentagon's first-six-days figure and then applies a lower ongoing burn rate of $1B/day instead of extending the opening surge rate across the whole war.", "warning": "This is a third-party methodology, not an official U.S. government live total. It is lower than the old dashboard estimate because it assumes the post-opening burn rate cooled to $1B/day.", "sources": [ { "label": "Iran War Cost Tracker methodology page", "url": "https://iran-cost-ticker.com/", "date": "2026-08-25" } ], "sourceKind": "live-third-party", "elapsedDays": 178.31964827546295, "ongoingDays": 172.31964827546295, "estimate": 183619648275.46295 }, "mid": { "key": "mid", "label": "Mid", "estimateMode": "CSIS-style sustained operations", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 16500000000, "knownDays": 12, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1150000000, "whyThisNumber": "Starts from the CSIS day-12 update and then assumes a still-elevated but lower sustained-operations burn rate instead of keeping the opening surge forever.", "warning": "Analytic mid-case for directional planning, not an official total.", "sources": [ { "label": "CSIS day-12 war cost update", "url": "https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-war-cost-estimate-update-113-billion-day-6-165-billion-day-12", "date": "2026-03-13" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ], "elapsedDays": 178.31964827546295, "ongoingDays": 166.31964827546295, "estimate": 207767595516.7824 }, "high": { "key": "high", "label": "High", "estimateMode": "Pentagon-derived opening-surge stress case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1883333333, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the Pentagon-reported opening burn rate from the first six days as a high-side stress case for what costs look like if elevated operating tempo persists.", "warning": "Useful as a ceiling scenario, but very likely too high for a long-run central estimate.", "sources": [ { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ], "elapsedDays": 178.31964827546295, "ongoingDays": 172.31964827546295, "estimate": 335835337528.0153 } }, "minEstimate": 183619648275.46295, "maxEstimate": 335835337528.0153 }, "archiveIndex": [ { "date": "2026-08-25", "generatedAt": "2026-08-25T05:00:29.702Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-24", "generatedAt": "2026-08-24T17:04:45.546Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-23", "generatedAt": "2026-08-23T17:09:45.002Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-22", "generatedAt": "2026-08-22T17:09:44.237Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "generatedAt": "2026-08-21T17:04:43.504Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-20", "generatedAt": "2026-08-20T17:04:42.943Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-19", "generatedAt": "2026-08-19T17:09:42.367Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-18", "generatedAt": "2026-08-18T17:09:41.817Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-17", "generatedAt": "2026-08-17T17:09:41.037Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-16", "generatedAt": "2026-08-16T17:09:40.266Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-15", "generatedAt": "2026-08-15T17:04:39.633Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "generatedAt": "2026-08-14T17:04:39.056Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-13", "generatedAt": "2026-08-13T17:04:38.465Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-08-12", "generatedAt": "2026-08-12T17:09:37.844Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-08-11", "generatedAt": "2026-08-11T17:04:39.002Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-10", "generatedAt": "2026-08-10T17:05:37.159Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-09", "generatedAt": "2026-08-09T17:04:36.703Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-08", "generatedAt": "2026-08-08T17:09:34.939Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "generatedAt": "2026-08-07T17:41:39.510Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-06", "generatedAt": "2026-08-06T17:44:33.987Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-05", "generatedAt": "2026-08-05T17:44:33.452Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-08-04", "generatedAt": "2026-08-04T17:49:32.703Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-03", "generatedAt": "2026-08-03T17:49:31.937Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-08-02", "generatedAt": "2026-08-02T17:49:31.552Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-08-01", "generatedAt": "2026-08-01T17:49:30.657Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "generatedAt": "2026-07-31T17:49:30.039Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-30", "generatedAt": "2026-07-30T17:49:29.390Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-29", "generatedAt": "2026-07-29T17:49:28.719Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-28", "generatedAt": "2026-07-28T17:49:28.104Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-27", "generatedAt": "2026-07-27T17:49:27.559Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-26", "generatedAt": "2026-07-26T17:44:26.665Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-25", "generatedAt": "2026-07-25T17:44:26.523Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "generatedAt": "2026-07-25T01:56:46.475Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-23", "generatedAt": "2026-07-23T17:44:24.857Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-22", "generatedAt": "2026-07-22T17:34:27.364Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-21", "generatedAt": "2026-07-21T17:29:23.787Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-20", "generatedAt": "2026-07-20T17:24:22.908Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-19", "generatedAt": "2026-07-19T17:14:22.104Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-18", "generatedAt": "2026-07-18T17:14:21.640Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "generatedAt": "2026-07-17T17:09:21.059Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-16", "generatedAt": "2026-07-16T17:04:20.307Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-15", "generatedAt": "2026-07-15T16:59:19.809Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-14", "generatedAt": "2026-07-14T16:49:19.087Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-13", "generatedAt": "2026-07-13T16:44:18.211Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-12", "generatedAt": "2026-07-12T16:34:17.864Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-11", "generatedAt": "2026-07-11T16:24:17.030Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "generatedAt": "2026-07-10T16:14:16.556Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-09", "generatedAt": "2026-07-09T16:04:15.804Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-08", "generatedAt": "2026-07-09T03:59:15.398Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-07", "generatedAt": "2026-07-08T03:49:14.858Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-06", "generatedAt": "2026-07-07T03:44:14.112Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-05", "generatedAt": "2026-07-06T03:44:13.475Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-04", "generatedAt": "2026-07-05T03:39:12.793Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "generatedAt": "2026-07-04T03:34:12.136Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-07-02", "generatedAt": "2026-07-03T03:29:11.491Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-07-01", "generatedAt": "2026-07-02T03:19:11.079Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-06-30", "generatedAt": "2026-07-01T03:09:10.294Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-29", "generatedAt": "2026-06-30T02:59:09.684Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-28", "generatedAt": "2026-06-29T02:54:09.040Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-27", "generatedAt": "2026-06-28T02:44:08.267Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "generatedAt": "2026-06-27T02:39:07.616Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-25", "generatedAt": "2026-06-26T02:29:07.132Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-24", "generatedAt": "2026-06-25T02:14:06.715Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-23", "generatedAt": "2026-06-24T02:09:05.642Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-22", "generatedAt": "2026-06-23T02:04:04.940Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-21", "generatedAt": "2026-06-22T01:54:04.460Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-20", "generatedAt": "2026-06-21T01:44:03.720Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "generatedAt": "2026-06-20T01:34:03.034Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "generatedAt": "2026-06-19T01:24:02.562Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "generatedAt": "2026-06-18T01:17:15.978Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-16", "generatedAt": "2026-06-17T01:14:01.061Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-15", "generatedAt": "2026-06-16T01:04:00.399Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-14", "generatedAt": "2026-06-15T00:58:28.348Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-13", "generatedAt": "2026-06-14T00:48:59.188Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "generatedAt": "2026-06-13T00:43:58.454Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-11", "generatedAt": "2026-06-12T00:41:00.908Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-10", "generatedAt": "2026-06-11T00:33:57.387Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-09", "generatedAt": "2026-06-10T00:28:56.754Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-08", "generatedAt": "2026-06-09T00:22:19.824Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-07", "generatedAt": "2026-06-08T00:09:30.253Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-06", "generatedAt": "2026-06-07T00:03:54.953Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "generatedAt": "2026-06-06T00:00:47.069Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-04", "generatedAt": "2026-06-04T23:56:07.632Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-03", "generatedAt": "2026-06-03T23:47:22.015Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-02", "generatedAt": "2026-06-02T23:37:55.016Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-06-01", "generatedAt": "2026-06-01T23:31:54.196Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-05-31", "generatedAt": "2026-05-31T23:27:53.837Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-30", "generatedAt": "2026-05-30T23:22:38.494Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "generatedAt": "2026-05-29T23:17:37.807Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-26", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T05:08:28.177Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:02:02.810Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "generatedAt": "2026-04-25T00:59:56.220Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-23", "generatedAt": "2026-04-24T00:56:39.274Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-04-22", "generatedAt": "2026-04-22T20:10:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Gunfire against merchant vessels overlapped with lingering reopening language, producing the dashboard's warning-state phrasing." }, { "date": "2026-04-21", "generatedAt": "2026-04-21T20:05:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Reporting that only three ships passed through the previous 24 hours pushed the dashboard back into practical-closure territory." }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "generatedAt": "2026-04-17T18:15:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Iran publicly said passage was completely open, but security reporting and insurance pricing never returned to normal." }, { "date": "2026-04-15", "generatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:00:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Mine-clearing estimates and convoy constraints pushed the dashboard back into a practical-closure posture." }, { "date": "2026-04-13", "generatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:30:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Public reopening language briefly outran operator confidence. Merchant traffic was inching back, but shipowners still priced the route as a war-risk transit." } ], "headlines": [ { "id": "Joint Maritime Information Center Update 087 to JMIC Advisory Note: 01 March – 20 August 2026 - UKMTO::Fri, 21 Aug 2026 09:24:55 GMT", "title": "Joint Maritime Information Center Update 087 to JMIC Advisory Note: 01 March – 20 August 2026 - UKMTO", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxORU5pVXZzZUNpa3BwZTVYV0xSVjA5Umc0NXZ1SVYzNHEtT01VNGhGTTdPWTg0MmQxYU9ORFNycjVhY2E3WktXZUVyVzEtR1JVLU5JUlZHLVVhTVdCdDVyYzJURktkOTBncVdWOG5mdk1EYXdWNzZ6V2hNVVNYMTFBYVUzbXRaSzFzRlNDLWR6ZmdlQQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Fri, 21 Aug 2026 09:24:55 GMT", "description": "Joint Maritime Information Center Update 087 to JMIC Advisory Note: 01 March – 20 August 2026 UKMTO", "source": "UKMTO", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxORU5pVXZzZUNpa3BwZTVYV0xSVjA5Umc0NXZ1SVYzNHEtT01VNGhGTTdPWTg0MmQxYU9ORFNycjVhY2E3WktXZUVyVzEtR1JVLU5JUlZHLVVhTVdCdDVyYzJURktkOTBncVdWOG5mdk1EYXdWNzZ6V2hNVVNYMTFBYVUzbXRaSzFzRlNDLWR6ZmdlQQ?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "2 Mariners Killed in Strait of Hormuz as Transits See Small Increase - USNI News::Sat, 22 Aug 2026 01:13:00 GMT", "title": "2 Mariners Killed in Strait of Hormuz as Transits See Small Increase - USNI News", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNQzlQaGxEcnlPUnJ0RTYyYVdnTXF1MHY4NDl0N3lUNzBvbzg4emUybjZua0szZk5fQlZsaXozdDRoeWJ2MHlWU1hYZTRLTERTSnFpWVdYS1dtLTNtdFlzczRwQ3I2Vnc0RTJtdWdkM3VCakEtNEl1bXZJT0hNVWZnZGhDckNYM3NIMkpPNnV5WjhXdWg4SlE5Zzhob29OWXZISFpv?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Sat, 22 Aug 2026 01:13:00 GMT", "description": "2 Mariners Killed in Strait of Hormuz as Transits See Small Increase USNI News", "source": "USNI News", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNQzlQaGxEcnlPUnJ0RTYyYVdnTXF1MHY4NDl0N3lUNzBvbzg4emUybjZua0szZk5fQlZsaXozdDRoeWJ2MHlWU1hYZTRLTERTSnFpWVdYS1dtLTNtdFlzczRwQ3I2Vnc0RTJtdWdkM3VCakEtNEl1bXZJT0hNVWZnZGhDckNYM3NIMkpPNnV5WjhXdWg4SlE5Zzhob29OWXZISFpv?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz surges as vessels increasingly use US-backed Oman route - i24NEWS::Sun, 23 Aug 2026 05:53:00 GMT", "title": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz surges as vessels increasingly use US-backed Oman route - i24NEWS", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi5gFBVV95cUxNc2lheklJNkN3dFh2UjV1b1ZnY0NHVWtfdjBmYUdUUm85dExKQ3g5ZjRERzQyd25FN1RiREdYWmhCM2p5M1R3aGI1Tm12T0ZWaTVwbVYwZ2NZOXZENG04dUFEUkJuYjhtOGRyazFMRFdsb2RCQmNjUTRxOVJ0ZlVkVXAxNTEtYzdSN1I4d0tQQWxqc18zcl9UQW92bElaNVBJbnVkYmltaFFwaHJsX0k3b1lMR3pVcjQtNHV4V1dSYzZPMkx2cktUX1g3VzZRUlpxVkpzVElDRDh2czFpMUI2OGtyRmRXdw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Sun, 23 Aug 2026 05:53:00 GMT", "description": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz surges as vessels increasingly use US-backed Oman route i24NEWS", "source": "i24NEWS", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi5gFBVV95cUxNc2lheklJNkN3dFh2UjV1b1ZnY0NHVWtfdjBmYUdUUm85dExKQ3g5ZjRERzQyd25FN1RiREdYWmhCM2p5M1R3aGI1Tm12T0ZWaTVwbVYwZ2NZOXZENG04dUFEUkJuYjhtOGRyazFMRFdsb2RCQmNjUTRxOVJ0ZlVkVXAxNTEtYzdSN1I4d0tQQWxqc18zcl9UQW92bElaNVBJbnVkYmltaFFwaHJsX0k3b1lMR3pVcjQtNHV4V1dSYzZPMkx2cktUX1g3VzZRUlpxVkpzVElDRDh2czFpMUI2OGtyRmRXdw?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Hormuz Tanker Traffic Slumps as U.S. and Iran Trade Threats - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 06:00:00 GMT", "title": "Hormuz Tanker Traffic Slumps as U.S. and Iran Trade Threats - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "link": "https://news.google.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?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 06:00:00 GMT", "description": "Hormuz Tanker Traffic Slumps as U.S. and Iran Trade Threats Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "source": "Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "originalLink": "https://news.google.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?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Iran threatens 45 tankers with fines, confiscation in Hormuz escalation - Reuters::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 13:31:53 GMT", "title": "Iran threatens 45 tankers with fines, confiscation in Hormuz escalation - Reuters", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPR1A3TzVlaW92SHFPcHNmUjdQZ1hIYi0xZWNCdGVpcmY4VmZBUHNneElLRnE5dDFwZXRRX1FfcHFkMDlFMm5kdGh2aldsWnllaGZSVWJ2SFhzUVRRU3FyNzJNeWJfb3lrQnhqQ2g0d1c0ZUo0dllmTkd4QzAwWTNZV05sNlc2M3c5c3d5Zi1hTF90N0ltX25sUUk4T0RURUE3akZuX2VrMEFGcXFIMV9FRFU5VWI2UE4wREV3?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 13:31:53 GMT", "description": "Iran threatens 45 tankers with fines, confiscation in Hormuz escalation Reuters", "source": "Reuters", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPR1A3TzVlaW92SHFPcHNmUjdQZ1hIYi0xZWNCdGVpcmY4VmZBUHNneElLRnE5dDFwZXRRX1FfcHFkMDlFMm5kdGh2aldsWnllaGZSVWJ2SFhzUVRRU3FyNzJNeWJfb3lrQnhqQ2g0d1c0ZUo0dllmTkd4QzAwWTNZV05sNlc2M3c5c3d5Zi1hTF90N0ltX25sUUk4T0RURUE3akZuX2VrMEFGcXFIMV9FRFU5VWI2UE4wREV3?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Iran advances plan to charge ships fees in Strait of Hormuz - The Jerusalem Post::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:20:56 GMT", "title": "Iran advances plan to charge ships fees in Strait of Hormuz - The Jerusalem Post", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBKZGU5VnA0ZmtmYjBYMUwxei1OSDk3TlhoTGtCdkhGVklIVE51OUNITnlwaDlucjJqYlVHckFhOUpSTUpWUFBndVhaZ1ROWG5NVE1vS3l4NElFcWVoNC03cnpXQlM4eDV6cXc?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 14:20:56 GMT", "description": "Iran advances plan to charge ships fees in Strait of Hormuz The Jerusalem Post", "source": "The Jerusalem Post", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBKZGU5VnA0ZmtmYjBYMUwxei1OSDk3TlhoTGtCdkhGVklIVE51OUNITnlwaDlucjJqYlVHckFhOUpSTUpWUFBndVhaZ1ROWG5NVE1vS3l4NElFcWVoNC03cnpXQlM4eDV6cXc?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "U.S. Says Oil Is Pouring Through Hormuz. Trackers Can’t Find It. - WSJ::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:19:00 GMT", "title": "U.S. Says Oil Is Pouring Through Hormuz. Trackers Can’t Find It. - WSJ", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxPeE5tdi1WV2JCLV9DemhyX2NKRk1YTHZBT3RqSmFuZEVoaEVBNVdPV2tpZm1HSVM3VHJTOV9hVkdIRXVCUUV0YldsSlRJWFFZeUdNLUNacnFKc0VOMGFvMVVWYXFpTVNtd1JDQ3BwVVhVekRSQnFUZURFdVp6dE5zUWdnUVpuWmNSWGFjbzZIMzRGTDg5NnVfLTZfUWZvNWNaMHo1cXhHV3ZyQ2VHLUE?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:19:00 GMT", "description": "U.S. Says Oil Is Pouring Through Hormuz. Trackers Can’t Find It. WSJ", "source": "WSJ", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxPeE5tdi1WV2JCLV9DemhyX2NKRk1YTHZBT3RqSmFuZEVoaEVBNVdPV2tpZm1HSVM3VHJTOV9hVkdIRXVCUUV0YldsSlRJWFFZeUdNLUNacnFKc0VOMGFvMVVWYXFpTVNtd1JDQ3BwVVhVekRSQnFUZURFdVp6dE5zUWdnUVpuWmNSWGFjbzZIMzRGTDg5NnVfLTZfUWZvNWNaMHo1cXhHV3ZyQ2VHLUE?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Global food supply has become ‘collateral damage’ in conflicts: Secretary-General - UN News::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:41:53 GMT", "title": "Global food supply has become ‘collateral damage’ in conflicts: Secretary-General - UN News", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiV0FVX3lxTFBsQWxwTmFXNzVUSmVaT0tJYUEwcF9RbzQ4aEhaSXRkSWJ3MVlad1Zsd3d3aktIVGh2dXNIdVY5M2RaZXp6QTNzTUZwdFFEOWs1Vy13dmsyUQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 15:41:53 GMT", "description": "Global food supply has become ‘collateral damage’ in conflicts: Secretary-General UN News", "source": "UN News", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiV0FVX3lxTFBsQWxwTmFXNzVUSmVaT0tJYUEwcF9RbzQ4aEhaSXRkSWJ3MVlad1Zsd3d3aktIVGh2dXNIdVY5M2RaZXp6QTNzTUZwdFFEOWs1Vy13dmsyUQ?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Today’s Strait of Hormuz Mystery: Where Did the Oil Go? - The New Republic::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:51:09 GMT", "title": "Today’s Strait of Hormuz Mystery: Where Did the Oil Go? - The New Republic", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidEFVX3lxTE02bE9wWGFyT1VtR0JscEE0MF9YZllZcVBQSkJfeWJIWVVXb096dkZjS0dla3lvSlpRUEJZX291WEwxS1Bkc1h0U2Nsa3V3SXFzQkxDVXpvekdTUG9yMUZnelQ3NDI1YU9YSDVhMjRoZ0VPd0Fx?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:51:09 GMT", "description": "Today’s Strait of Hormuz Mystery: Where Did the Oil Go? The New Republic", "source": "The New Republic", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidEFVX3lxTE02bE9wWGFyT1VtR0JscEE0MF9YZllZcVBQSkJfeWJIWVVXb096dkZjS0dla3lvSlpRUEJZX291WEwxS1Bkc1h0U2Nsa3V3SXFzQkxDVXpvekdTUG9yMUZnelQ3NDI1YU9YSDVhMjRoZ0VPd0Fx?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 20:07:17 GMT", "title": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPdkNmMGllenFfdWxNVTJYWTF5b3h1Y3lVSmlhSmEwUHZjUC1jRTVQRUZCZ1p2SDFaaWZSRTdVOHNta2JwaFpTSjZyUHgzVUJ4WDdHUjJYeGdXR3Vycm1sdnRjSmdUdmwxQjVuU0tLTURmWXU4S2RRWmlVc3FfNTBzajUwQ0tNX1Z1WWZ30gGQAUFVX3lxTE9nNGYwUkF5QTdrZmVZSnEzSUdXLUt0YURGSFRiTXNQcHZEUXlkemFzTFBxX3JXRzRwQmViNHJJZjdvR0dyNFdvd3piWlpmbVZhNzVaZ1BUTUVUckNmNVpYeW9SQVA4eGtIZHcxc0xiRXMyeGhaOFgwbC1TUG9kX1VaNWU1MTFwbUQ1dFZFVE0ydA?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 24 Aug 2026 20:07:17 GMT", "description": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea Al Jazeera", "source": "Al Jazeera", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPdkNmMGllenFfdWxNVTJYWTF5b3h1Y3lVSmlhSmEwUHZjUC1jRTVQRUZCZ1p2SDFaaWZSRTdVOHNta2JwaFpTSjZyUHgzVUJ4WDdHUjJYeGdXR3Vycm1sdnRjSmdUdmwxQjVuU0tLTURmWXU4S2RRWmlVc3FfNTBzajUwQ0tNX1Z1WWZ30gGQAUFVX3lxTE9nNGYwUkF5QTdrZmVZSnEzSUdXLUt0YURGSFRiTXNQcHZEUXlkemFzTFBxX3JXRzRwQmViNHJJZjdvR0dyNFdvd3piWlpmbVZhNzVaZ1BUTUVUckNmNVpYeW9SQVA4eGtIZHcxc0xiRXMyeGhaOFgwbC1TUG9kX1VaNWU1MTFwbUQ1dFZFVE0ydA?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Tanker Hit and Disabled Near Strait of Hormuz - The Maritime Executive::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 02:02:56 GMT", "title": "Tanker Hit and Disabled Near Strait of Hormuz - The Maritime Executive", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQOFFLdWtNNUVVWm9UdEVnVS1CdDhKRzB1aUwwVnNwZkJ0N2NHOUxpUnFpTEFXcDdGUFVDMHdROUM3eUVTN2VuTWZaSkJhT2VfZ2xTeXhfdGIxYU50czFlUTZfRGVzdklHa21TQTU4WWZNV3ZNV042QnNxUXU0N095d2k0SFdEZzc4aHE0Sg?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 25 Aug 2026 02:02:56 GMT", "description": "Tanker Hit and Disabled Near Strait of Hormuz The Maritime Executive", "source": "The Maritime Executive", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQOFFLdWtNNUVVWm9UdEVnVS1CdDhKRzB1aUwwVnNwZkJ0N2NHOUxpUnFpTEFXcDdGUFVDMHdROUM3eUVTN2VuTWZaSkJhT2VfZ2xTeXhfdGIxYU50czFlUTZfRGVzdklHa21TQTU4WWZNV3ZNV042QnNxUXU0N095d2k0SFdEZzc4aHE0Sg?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:44:50 GMT", "title": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQLUFYakxBZUI5OWNmRXRBMGk2aTZsdHpCOTFWSWpfWFVZVEpKcHY2cE9KV210QzZDeXpibGJJbFJzWWI1Z0lWdjlvMHJEbndpT1FhUFJLalEwdC13RGVyU0RSSGNZVlZrVnpTZmJZWW1SMDV5YWVXaUstMW1NdDZ5WVlqR2VWXzlQTnFfSGk4SVFUZnkxZ09weNIBngFBVV95cUxQckhFdFAtMGdJOV9PRTh6XzNBUldVaVVabEVCSVY5a0VwXzJsMURaUjVVN094WlRxWjczbU5kS0ctcmFqSEpUd1VXUTlPNDZQM1BGb1U0RGxqZFFzYlRaQmlfLXJubk1zUTVNN0FPNTdhTG9iUkc2WVZBa2pJbDhYcUk1M0x6b25aZVduTjAyQ2llWmw5OU5CYTVvLTZBdw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:44:50 GMT", "description": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz upi.com", "source": "upi.com", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQLUFYakxBZUI5OWNmRXRBMGk2aTZsdHpCOTFWSWpfWFVZVEpKcHY2cE9KV210QzZDeXpibGJJbFJzWWI1Z0lWdjlvMHJEbndpT1FhUFJLalEwdC13RGVyU0RSSGNZVlZrVnpTZmJZWW1SMDV5YWVXaUstMW1NdDZ5WVlqR2VWXzlQTnFfSGk4SVFUZnkxZ09weNIBngFBVV95cUxQckhFdFAtMGdJOV9PRTh6XzNBUldVaVVabEVCSVY5a0VwXzJsMURaUjVVN094WlRxWjczbU5kS0ctcmFqSEpUd1VXUTlPNDZQM1BGb1U0RGxqZFFzYlRaQmlfLXJubk1zUTVNN0FPNTdhTG9iUkc2WVZBa2pJbDhYcUk1M0x6b25aZVduTjAyQ2llWmw5OU5CYTVvLTZBdw?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack - Seatrade Maritime News::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 06:08:41 GMT", "title": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack - Seatrade Maritime News", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxNbDI5aVNpbzRzbXBBc0tsZFpyWkM5b0xwYlJnM0RhWWdTNHpnMEdZVWtWcm15MXF4SGpLV3VsNlhqcGNaaHhqSVg5UERCRkNiaXNFRFpXSWh6VVRlZzVqTUU4RmRRU1JSdXZPVmpDNml5QXp6Y0ROck93bVNTWXIxUWdUc1M4QmlWY2llU0hn?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 25 Aug 2026 06:08:41 GMT", "description": "Tanker disabled in Strait of Hormuz attack Seatrade Maritime News", "source": "Seatrade Maritime News", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxNbDI5aVNpbzRzbXBBc0tsZFpyWkM5b0xwYlJnM0RhWWdTNHpnMEdZVWtWcm15MXF4SGpLV3VsNlhqcGNaaHhqSVg5UERCRkNiaXNFRFpXSWh6VVRlZzVqTUU4RmRRU1JSdXZPVmpDNml5QXp6Y0ROck93bVNTWXIxUWdUc1M4QmlWY2llU0hn?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Rethinking the Hormuz Toll Debate: Can Coastal States Monetize Maritime Security? - EJIL: Talk!::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 07:08:10 GMT", "title": "Rethinking the Hormuz Toll Debate: Can Coastal States Monetize Maritime Security? - EJIL: Talk!", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNRC1iZ3FyTXF0OXY2RFJ3aWFMUndzeEI3Qklvai03M0Nwa2lrVXIxWG9PM1ZhYzhQWmdOQ2xVcnBXbGtQN0dWMW1hb1k2NnN2RGtNODRJdFpkRWRfOUx1OVktVWl4LWhFT2ZHVGV4M2tXYnU4QjlDUWY0akZfSXNyaThqSmczQ3JKSVZuUEtmZk5IV1FQN2lWZElOLWVzRXJKcXFTWVVLa0U?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 25 Aug 2026 07:08:10 GMT", "description": "Rethinking the Hormuz Toll Debate: Can Coastal States Monetize Maritime Security? EJIL: Talk!", "source": "EJIL: Talk!", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNRC1iZ3FyTXF0OXY2RFJ3aWFMUndzeEI3Qklvai03M0Nwa2lrVXIxWG9PM1ZhYzhQWmdOQ2xVcnBXbGtQN0dWMW1hb1k2NnN2RGtNODRJdFpkRWRfOUx1OVktVWl4LWhFT2ZHVGV4M2tXYnU4QjlDUWY0akZfSXNyaThqSmczQ3JKSVZuUEtmZk5IV1FQN2lWZElOLWVzRXJKcXFTWVVLa0U?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" } ], "archiveAutomation": { "ok": true, "status": "skipped", "reason": "live-traffic", "storageMode": "blob", "durable": true, "latestSnapshot": { "date": "2026-08-25", "generatedAt": "2026-08-25T05:00:29.702Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice.", "headlineHighlights": [ { "title": "Commodity vessel transits through Hormuz Strait drop to three-month low - Middle East Eye", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwJBVV95cUxNX3p0ZktmVV9TV09qb0tSU2g2UUpBcUF4QnZkcERVdTNMODRDQkVCNUZjVXdRYzg5VDY4cU8tZnhjU3YwVG12XzdmYkJQNXlYQ1R0bjB1TFlfOEpUeVpQc2JKYkJzVDNub0tSOHBBejlpSzRIRHlIUDNPYUV2X1FJV0dyU0dfZWlkdXVMQVpkWXZMbVlLdFE1SU1kMmJUaDVVWDhqRG9hSk1aNnRINWNCc0Qtb2NPQWRsb3VJVFRhbE5PcE5VT2gxQkZyWl9aNmhjZ0oxUUwyRjJ1M0VqNmh4TGlDMXM0VGs2TTJZZ1JLZFg2Y003SzJMVGw4MTJDbVBqRENJ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "source": "Middle East Eye" }, { "title": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQLUFYakxBZUI5OWNmRXRBMGk2aTZsdHpCOTFWSWpfWFVZVEpKcHY2cE9KV210QzZDeXpibGJJbFJzWWI1Z0lWdjlvMHJEbndpT1FhUFJLalEwdC13RGVyU0RSSGNZVlZrVnpTZmJZWW1SMDV5YWVXaUstMW1NdDZ5WVlqR2VWXzlQTnFfSGk4SVFUZnkxZ09weNIBngFBVV95cUxQckhFdFAtMGdJOV9PRTh6XzNBUldVaVVabEVCSVY5a0VwXzJsMURaUjVVN094WlRxWjczbU5kS0ctcmFqSEpUd1VXUTlPNDZQM1BGb1U0RGxqZFFzYlRaQmlfLXJubk1zUTVNN0FPNTdhTG9iUkc2WVZBa2pJbDhYcUk1M0x6b25aZVduTjAyQ2llWmw5OU5CYTVvLTZBdw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "source": "upi.com" } ], "marketSummary": [ { "label": "WTI Front-Month", "value": "$85.11/bbl", "context": "-3.1% versus previous close" }, { "label": "Brent Front-Month", "value": "$92.11/bbl", "context": "-1.8% versus previous close" }, { "label": "VLCC Gulf Day Rate", "value": "about $165k/day risk premium", "context": "Gulf loading premium versus Oman | public live feed not available" } ], "incidents": [ { "id": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com::Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:44:50 GMT", "date": "2026-08-25", "location": "Central channel", "title": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz - upi.com", "summary": "Projectile strikes, disables tanker near Strait of Hormuz upi.com", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "upi.com", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQLUFYakxBZUI5OWNmRXRBMGk2aTZsdHpCOTFWSWpfWFVZVEpKcHY2cE9KV210QzZDeXpibGJJbFJzWWI1Z0lWdjlvMHJEbndpT1FhUFJLalEwdC13RGVyU0RSSGNZVlZrVnpTZmJZWW1SMDV5YWVXaUstMW1NdDZ5WVlqR2VWXzlQTnFfSGk4SVFUZnkxZ09weNIBngFBVV95cUxQckhFdFAtMGdJOV9PRTh6XzNBUldVaVVabEVCSVY5a0VwXzJsMURaUjVVN094WlRxWjczbU5kS0ctcmFqSEpUd1VXUTlPNDZQM1BGb1U0RGxqZFFzYlRaQmlfLXJubk1zUTVNN0FPNTdhTG9iUkc2WVZBa2pJbDhYcUk1M0x6b25aZVduTjAyQ2llWmw5OU5CYTVvLTZBdw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera::Mon, 24 Aug 2026 20:07:17 GMT", "date": "2026-08-24", "location": "Eastbound lane", "title": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea - Al Jazeera", "summary": "Yemen’s Houthis report attack on Saudi oil tanker in Red Sea Al Jazeera", "severity": "high", "x": 68, "y": 36, "sourceLabel": "Al Jazeera", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPdkNmMGllenFfdWxNVTJYWTF5b3h1Y3lVSmlhSmEwUHZjUC1jRTVQRUZCZ1p2SDFaaWZSRTdVOHNta2JwaFpTSjZyUHgzVUJ4WDdHUjJYeGdXR3Vycm1sdnRjSmdUdmwxQjVuU0tLTURmWXU4S2RRWmlVc3FfNTBzajUwQ0tNX1Z1WWZ30gGQAUFVX3lxTE9nNGYwUkF5QTdrZmVZSnEzSUdXLUt0YURGSFRiTXNQcHZEUXlkemFzTFBxX3JXRzRwQmViNHJJZjdvR0dyNFdvd3piWlpmbVZhNzVaZ1BUTUVUckNmNVpYeW9SQVA4eGtIZHcxc0xiRXMyeGhaOFgwbC1TUG9kX1VaNWU1MTFwbUQ1dFZFVE0ydA?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-04", "date": "2026-08-04", "location": "Oman-side corridor", "title": "Cargo ship reports an unknown-projectile strike", "summary": "UKMTO-linked reporting said a cargo ship was hit in the Strait off Oman while route negotiations continued.", "severity": "high", "x": 76, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-war-strait-hormuz-oman-diplomacy-6587f90f2ab5beec373ce5fabf637541" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-01-a", "date": "2026-08-01", "location": "Near Limah, Oman", "title": "Tanker struck on the southern route", "summary": "A tanker reported being struck near the Oman-side route as the United States held off on a planned strike package.", "severity": "high", "x": 75, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e61e88c14d8aca48c1c56368650baea5" }, { "id": "inc-2026-08-01-b", "date": "2026-08-01", "location": "Musandam approach", "title": "Second vessel reports a nearby explosion", "summary": "A separate vessel reported an explosion close by during the same high-risk transit period.", "severity": "high", "x": 80, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e61e88c14d8aca48c1c56368650baea5" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-20", "date": "2026-07-20", "location": "UAE-side approach", "title": "Attacked vessel abandoned while burning", "summary": "UKMTO reported an attacked vessel off the UAE side was abandoned and remained adrift and ablaze.", "severity": "high", "x": 63, "y": 27, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/e28a54c4dbe41c9f22046ed054005c1d" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-17", "date": "2026-07-17", "location": "Oman-side transit lane", "title": "Tanker comes under attack near Oman", "summary": "A tanker reported an attack while traveling through the Strait on the route closest to Oman.", "severity": "high", "x": 73, "y": 39, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press citing UKMTO", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/2ad0cfe592eb258cb15a9eb04411d58a" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-12", "date": "2026-07-12", "location": "Central Strait", "title": "Container ship attack leaves crew member missing", "summary": "An Iranian attack on a container ship preceded a large U.S. strike response and renewed conflicting closure claims.", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Associated Press war timeline", "sourceUrl": "https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-timeline-trump-hormuz-war-ceasefire-04da58cbae991183f8b52ef5bf615963" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-07-a", "date": "2026-07-07", "location": "8 NM east of Limah, Oman", "title": "LNG tanker hit; engine-room fire reported", "summary": "JMIC recorded an unknown projectile striking the port-side engine room while the tanker traveled southbound through the Strait.", "severity": "high", "x": 75, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "UKMTO/JMIC update 068", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-068-jmic-advisory-note-07-july.pdf" }, { "id": "inc-2026-07-07-b", "date": "2026-07-07", "location": "16 NM east of Khor Fakkan, UAE", "title": "VLCC struck after exiting the Strait", "summary": "JMIC said an unknown projectile hit the vessel's port side; no crew injuries were reported and it continued to a port of call.", "severity": "high", "x": 88, "y": 35, "sourceLabel": "UKMTO/JMIC update 068", "sourceUrl": "https://www.ukmto.org/-/media/ukmto/products/update-068-jmic-advisory-note-07-july.pdf" } ], "costBand": { "low": "$183.5B", "mid": "$207.6B", "high": "$335.6B" }, "casualties": { "civilian": "1,746+", "military": "1,281+", "mixed": "5,171+" }, "notes": [ "Automated archive snapshot generated from the live dashboard payload.", "This snapshot was persisted server-side so the archive and incident map stay in sync with live updates." ] }, "nextEligibleAt": "2026-08-25T17:00:29.702Z" } }