{ "generatedAt": "2026-06-25T02:44:06.344Z", "mode": "live", "feedOk": true, "feedError": null, "pollIntervalMs": 300000, "fullRefreshMs": 1800000, "bootstrap": { "appTitle": "Hormuz Watch", "seededAt": "2026-04-23T09:30:00-04:00", "warStartDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z", "methodologyNote": "This dashboard mixes live headline monitoring with source-linked best-effort estimates. Strait status is headline-classified. Market and reserve modules combine direct figures with incident reporting. Spending and casualty cards are approximation-first and should be read as live working estimates, not official ledgers.", "strait": { "currentStatusCode": "restricted", "currentStatus": "Restricted / effectively closed", "tone": "danger", "summary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures.", "facts": [ "Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after multiple vessels were fired upon while transiting near Hormuz.", "Reuters on April 21 reported the strait remained effectively closed and said only three ships had passed through in the previous 24 hours.", "Reuters on April 17 reported Iranian statements that passage for commercial vessels was completely open during a truce window." ], "bootstrapHeadlines": [ { "id": "seed-1", "title": "Three vessels hit by gunfire in Strait of Hormuz, crews safe", "link": "https://wsau.com/2026/04/22/three-vessels-hit-by-gunfire-in-strait-of-hormuz-crews-safe/", "pubDate": "Wed, 22 Apr 2026 03:33:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after multiple ships were fired upon while transiting the waterway.", "source": "Reuters" }, { "id": "seed-2", "title": "US oil prices rise as US-Iran peace talks remain uncertain", "link": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "pubDate": "Tue, 21 Apr 2026 18:52:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters reported the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed and that only three ships had passed through in the previous 24 hours.", "source": "Reuters" }, { "id": "seed-3", "title": "Wall Street indexes rally after Iran says Strait of Hormuz 'completely open'", "link": "https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/wall-st-futures-climb-on-middle-east-peace-hopes-as-investors-eye-strong-finish-to-week-4619850", "pubDate": "Fri, 17 Apr 2026 05:42:00 GMT", "description": "Reuters said Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted that passage for commercial vessels was completely open during the truce.", "source": "Reuters" } ], "sources": [ { "label": "Reuters / WSAU - ships hit by gunfire", "url": "https://wsau.com/2026/04/22/three-vessels-hit-by-gunfire-in-strait-of-hormuz-crews-safe/", "date": "2026-04-22" }, { "label": "Reuters / Investing - effectively closed with only three ships passing", "url": "https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/us-oil-prices-rise-as-usiran-peace-talks-remain-uncertain-4627899", "date": "2026-04-21" }, { "label": "Reuters / Investing - Iran says the strait was completely open", "url": "https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/wall-st-futures-climb-on-middle-east-peace-hopes-as-investors-eye-strong-finish-to-week-4619850", "date": "2026-04-17" } ] }, "quotes": [ { "country": "United States", "official": "President Donald Trump", "role": "White House / CNBC interview", "date": "2026-04-21", "excerpt": "we're going to end up with a great deal", "whatItMeans": "Washington is signaling confidence and saying pressure is producing leverage.", "contradiction": "That optimism clashes directly with Iran saying U.S. moves are blocking diplomacy.", "sourceLabel": "White House release", "sourceUrl": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/04/president-trump-addresses-key-issues-facing-the-nation-in-exclusive-cnbc-interview/" }, { "country": "Iran", "official": "Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi", "role": "Foreign ministry statement reported after calls with Pakistan and Russia", "date": "2026-04-21", "excerpt": "\"continued violations of the ceasefire\" are a \"major obstacle\"", "whatItMeans": "Tehran says U.S. behavior, especially shipping pressure and blockade actions, is poisoning the talks.", "contradiction": "This directly rejects the U.S. story that the negotiating environment is improving.", "sourceLabel": "Xinhua summary of Iranian foreign ministry statement", "sourceUrl": "https://www.china.org.cn/world/Off_the_Wire/2026-04/21/content_118448556.shtml" }, { "country": "Pakistan", "official": "Deputy Prime Minister / Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar", "role": "Remarks after the Islamabad talks", "date": "2026-04-12", "excerpt": "Pakistan has been and will continue to play its role", "whatItMeans": "Islamabad still frames itself as an active mediator trying to keep both sides in the process.", "contradiction": "Pakistan talks like diplomacy is still salvageable even while U.S. and Iranian messaging keeps worsening.", "sourceLabel": "Pakistan MOFA", "sourceUrl": "https://mofa.gov.pk/press-releases/remarks-by-the-dpmfm-at-the-conclusion-of-the-islamabad-talks" }, { "country": "Israel", "official": "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu", "role": "Statement on negotiations with Lebanon", "date": "2026-04-10", "excerpt": "open direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible", "whatItMeans": "Israel is willing to talk on one front while still centering hard security objectives.", "contradiction": "It sounds diplomatic on the surface, but the linked terms stay coercive and security-first.", "sourceLabel": "Israeli MFA", "sourceUrl": "https://embassies.gov.il/multilateral-organizations-france/en/news/prime-minister-benjamin-netanyahu-announces-opening-negotiations-lebanon" } ], "marketSignals": [ { "key": "wti", "label": "WTI Front-Month", "value": 69.14, "displayValue": "$69.14/bbl", "changeText": "-9.7% versus previous close", "tone": "danger", "summary": "Headline-sensitive proxy for how much the market is pricing Hormuz disruption into U.S.-linked crude.", "sourceLabel": "Yahoo Finance delayed futures quote", "sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CL%3DF", "asOf": "2026-06-25T02:34:04.000Z", "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "brent", "label": "Brent Front-Month", "value": 72.35, "displayValue": "$72.35/bbl", "changeText": "-9.4% versus previous close", "tone": "danger", "summary": "Global crude benchmark most directly exposed to a Hormuz shipping shock.", "sourceLabel": "Yahoo Finance delayed futures quote", "sourceUrl": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BZ%3DF", "asOf": "2026-06-25T02:33:59.000Z", "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "vlcc", "label": "VLCC Gulf Day Rate", "value": 182000, "displayValue": "$182k/day", "changeText": "spiking versus pre-war lanes | public live feed not available", "tone": "danger", "summary": "Very-large-crude-carrier spot pricing is a direct read on whether shipowners think transit is worth the risk.", "sourceLabel": "Shipping market desk synthesis", "sourceUrl": "https://www.tradewindsnews.com/tankers", "asOf": "2026-04-23T08:00:00-04:00", "fetchStatus": "manual", "fetchError": null }, { "key": "insurance", "label": "War-Risk Insurance", "value": 0.8, "displayValue": "0.45% to 0.80% hull value", "changeText": "JWC-listed waters / quoted premium band | public live feed not available", "tone": "danger", "summary": "When underwriters keep the Gulf on the Joint War Committee list and quoted premiums widen, shipping can stay technically open but practically unattractive.", "sourceLabel": "Lloyd's market / JWC list references", "sourceUrl": "https://www.lmalloyds.com/LMA/Underwriting/Marine/JWC_Hulls_List.aspx", "asOf": "2026-04-23T08:00:00-04:00", "fetchStatus": "manual", "fetchError": null } ], "incidents": [ { "id": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming - CNBC::Thu, 25 Jun 2026 02:25:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-25", "location": "Near Qeshm", "title": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming - CNBC", "summary": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming CNBC", "severity": "medium", "x": 44, "y": 27, "sourceLabel": "CNBC", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxObkZIRTBhZ25rMnM4bWN3ZnAxYW9MM0NkODZMblBHUUFPQldoVENvYV93UnVLNXhvQ1E2dExkNnFhSXZhal9Sa29xaDRpNVFCWlZHRGEzM0tSdVduR3pMNUplYUY1RmFqTVRBeFhqQ1BmNm1mZWhybmJDUGJ5blAyektRdHVBeFUzQ2dnQndpOWlxbXAtNndZN1FvRWc0SURBUUhqZFIzONIBrAFBVV95cUxPa0FSZzRMSUdzMjdvdEc3R05JRnhkZFFLSk9lUS14ZGxGYm05Q3daajAtSEc2bTF6ei0wSXlNam5YWl9DblUtdXg1a2YzYTlpTktmUy1BcWtyS3hpNE55WXlFQ0RHejgzMXkxSVZUbkxpWmZ5cDdQWVFIb1NnMkptbWtpdjlrOFA2MmE3dEpCei1kNklHa0pUSmdZd2l6RTUybWFjYWFxNjQ4SWxP?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 21:33:27 GMT", "date": "2026-06-24", "location": "Westbound lane", "title": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations", "summary": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy Council on Foreign Relations", "severity": "high", "x": 49, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Council on Foreign Relations", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPVGJwUm9MbzR1RUREblM3dEQxcEVsSG11NGVPN1JTczJwY1JhNlIwaDE4MVFrTWo2WWZ6RTI0SlBwNGNEV1pjWlJPZmZLUHZpd3RpWjJZWnJRdlV3akNLR2lrS0N0VlFPRWg5OHc1bVhFdWE1NUhzQW8zRVRVdW1fd1J0bWxtdGFTeVNCV1RR?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 12:24:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Eastbound lane", "title": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times", "summary": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated The New York Times", "severity": "medium", "x": 68, "y": 36, "sourceLabel": "The New York Times", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNNG83cHJRdTdzM1FlQ0l5cFFjcV9NMkxqb0luTVdONWZaSThMVWZHb21kSU5KVWJEeEZPT002ZHoyVjNkb2x1SVN0cGlZTklZRndndDFsZTFyanU1a001Rlhnd091Sl9MUHRRd2RLVkVJOHoxYmIzbUZudjNMQVBwSE90MHpkSVlUV2Ntd1lPWDUydw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 14:49:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Central channel", "title": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune", "summary": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge Fortune", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "Fortune", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNN2VKZ3l5d2tMS1E5VWFnNHRfNGVQTXBYdG5mN2MwUlpVN2FlT3RBY3JsMHM2OGV2QVFMTW1wbVAwTUhvUjZQQ3JZbFlKclpJcHZ6R09faTZEeW9ucTJHR3l0RHE2dVdqbFVEUGNiQlQ5OGMxS2VPRHYzcVNXU1k5TUl3Vms5ODZONHRpQg?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:41:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Approach to Musandam", "title": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business", "summary": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain Fox Business", "severity": "high", "x": 76, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "Fox Business", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.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?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" } ], "energyReserves": [ { "country": "Japan", "status": "Buffer still large", "daysRemaining": 230, "bufferText": "about 230 days of oil in reserve", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-04-09T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": "2026-11-25T00:00:00Z", "exposure": "Very high exposure to Gulf oil imports.", "sourceLabel": "Kyodo via Reuters image/article pickup", "sourceUrl": "https://www.bworldonline.com/world/2026/04/09/741878/japan-weighs-new-release-of-about-20-days-worth-of-oil-from-reserves-kyodo-says/", "projectionState": "countdown", "projectionLabel": "152 days until projected stress", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "South Korea", "status": "Buffer significant, but not comfortable", "daysRemaining": 91, "bufferText": "273 million barrels routed outside Hormuz, enough for more than three months under normal conditions", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": "2026-07-15T00:00:00Z", "exposure": "Extremely import-dependent and actively rerouting supply.", "sourceLabel": "Reuters / MarketScreener", "sourceUrl": "https://www.marketscreener.com/news/south-korea-says-secures-273-mln-barrels-of-crude-via-routes-outside-strait-of-hormuz-ce7e50dcd88af22d/", "projectionState": "stress-near", "projectionLabel": "19 days until projected stress", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "India", "status": "Projection expired", "daysRemaining": 25, "bufferText": "about 25 days of crude reserves was the last clean public figure at the start of March", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-03-04T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": "2026-03-29T00:00:00Z", "exposure": "High reliance on Gulf crude and LPG; recent reporting says alternatives are running thin.", "sourceLabel": "Reuters pickup / Economic Times", "sourceUrl": "https://government.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/india-eyes-alternative-energy-supplies-amid-strait-of-hormuz-disruption/129007363", "projectionState": "past-stress", "projectionLabel": "88 days past projected stress", "isPastStress": true }, { "country": "United States", "status": "No immediate cliff", "daysRemaining": null, "bufferText": "409 million barrels in the SPR on April 10, plus more than 400 million barrels of commercial crude inventories", "countdownAnchorDate": "2026-04-10T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": null, "exposure": "Less directly exposed than Asian importers, but still highly exposed to price shock.", "sourceLabel": "EIA", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67504", "projectionState": "no-countdown", "projectionLabel": "No precise countdown", "isPastStress": false }, { "country": "China", "status": "Big stockpile, limited transparency", "daysRemaining": null, "bufferText": "nearly 1.4 billion barrels of strategic crude estimated as of December 2025", "countdownAnchorDate": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z", "stressDate": null, "exposure": "Massive reserves, but current public day-cover is not transparent enough for a precise countdown.", "sourceLabel": "EIA", "sourceUrl": "https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67504", "projectionState": "no-countdown", "projectionLabel": "No precise countdown", "isPastStress": false } ], "spending": { "title": "Approximate U.S. war spending", "displayScenario": "mid", "summary": "Use the range, not a single number. The low case follows the third-party cost ticker, the middle case follows a CSIS-style sustained-operations path, and the high case uses the Pentagon opening burn rate as a stress test.", "scenarios": { "low": { "key": "low", "label": "Low", "estimateMode": "Iran Cost Tracker low case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1000000000, "whyThisNumber": "Iran War Cost Tracker says it uses the Pentagon's first-six-days figure and then applies a lower ongoing burn rate of $1B/day instead of extending the opening surge rate across the whole war.", "warning": "This is a third-party methodology, not an official U.S. government live total. It is lower than the old dashboard estimate because it assumes the post-opening burn rate cooled to $1B/day.", "sources": [ { "label": "Iran War Cost Tracker methodology page", "url": "https://iran-cost-ticker.com/", "date": "2026-06-25" } ], "sourceKind": "live-third-party" }, "mid": { "key": "mid", "label": "Mid", "estimateMode": "CSIS-style sustained operations", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 16500000000, "knownDays": 12, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1150000000, "whyThisNumber": "Starts from the CSIS day-12 update and then assumes a still-elevated but lower sustained-operations burn rate instead of keeping the opening surge forever.", "warning": "Analytic mid-case for directional planning, not an official total.", "sources": [ { "label": "CSIS day-12 war cost update", "url": "https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-war-cost-estimate-update-113-billion-day-6-165-billion-day-12", "date": "2026-03-13" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] }, "high": { "key": "high", "label": "High", "estimateMode": "Pentagon-derived opening-surge stress case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1883333333, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the Pentagon-reported opening burn rate from the first six days as a high-side stress case for what costs look like if elevated operating tempo persists.", "warning": "Useful as a ceiling scenario, but very likely too high for a long-run central estimate.", "sources": [ { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ] } }, "fetchStatus": "live", "fetchError": null }, "casualties": { "asOf": "2026-04-22T00:00:00Z", "civilianLowerBound": 1724, "militaryLowerBound": 1673, "unresolvedOrMixed": 2661, "summary": "These are lower-bound counts from source material that cleanly split civilians from military deaths. Large chunks of the regional toll are unresolved or mixed.", "breakdown": [ { "side": "Iran", "civilian": 1701, "military": 1221, "other": 714, "note": "HRANA figure cited by Reuters on April 10." }, { "side": "Israel", "civilian": 23, "military": 12, "other": 0, "note": "Reuters April 10 factbox using Israeli ambulance service and military figures." }, { "side": "United States", "civilian": 0, "military": 13, "other": 400, "note": "WSJ reported 13 U.S. military deaths and 400 wounded as of April 22." }, { "side": "Lebanon / Hezbollah front", "civilian": null, "military": 427, "other": 1830, "note": "Reuters said 1,830 killed in Lebanon, 400+ Hezbollah fighters dead, 14 Lebanese soldiers dead, and 13 state security personnel dead; civilian split unclear." }, { "side": "Iraq and other regional spillover", "civilian": null, "military": null, "other": 117, "note": "Reuters described the Iraqi toll as a mixed category of civilians, PMF, Peshmerga, police, and army." } ], "sources": [ { "label": "Reuters factbox on people killed in the Iran war", "url": "https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/factboxhow-many-people-have-been-killed-in-the-iran-war-4608248", "date": "2026-04-10" }, { "label": "WSJ - 400 U.S. service members injured; 13 dead", "url": "https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-war-us-ceasefire-2026/card/400-u-s-service-members-injured-in-iran-war-cQJyrCOsnmVPI48U5rh9", "date": "2026-04-22" } ] }, "archiveAutomation": { "storageMode": "blob", "durable": true } }, "straitStatus": { "code": "open-risky", "label": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "tone": "warning", "summary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, "spendBand": { "displayScenario": "mid", "summary": "Use the range, not a single number. The low case follows the third-party cost ticker, the middle case follows a CSIS-style sustained-operations path, and the high case uses the Pentagon opening burn rate as a stress test.", "scenarios": { "low": { "key": "low", "label": "Low", "estimateMode": "Iran Cost Tracker low case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1000000000, "whyThisNumber": "Iran War Cost Tracker says it uses the Pentagon's first-six-days figure and then applies a lower ongoing burn rate of $1B/day instead of extending the opening surge rate across the whole war.", "warning": "This is a third-party methodology, not an official U.S. government live total. It is lower than the old dashboard estimate because it assumes the post-opening burn rate cooled to $1B/day.", "sources": [ { "label": "Iran War Cost Tracker methodology page", "url": "https://iran-cost-ticker.com/", "date": "2026-06-25" } ], "sourceKind": "live-third-party", "elapsedDays": 117.11396231481481, "ongoingDays": 111.11396231481481, "estimate": 122413962314.81482 }, "mid": { "key": "mid", "label": "Mid", "estimateMode": "CSIS-style sustained operations", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 16500000000, "knownDays": 12, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1150000000, "whyThisNumber": "Starts from the CSIS day-12 update and then assumes a still-elevated but lower sustained-operations burn rate instead of keeping the opening surge forever.", "warning": "Analytic mid-case for directional planning, not an official total.", "sources": [ { "label": "CSIS day-12 war cost update", "url": "https://www.csis.org/analysis/iran-war-cost-estimate-update-113-billion-day-6-165-billion-day-12", "date": "2026-03-13" }, { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ], "elapsedDays": 117.11396231481481, "ongoingDays": 105.11396231481481, "estimate": 137381056662.03703 }, "high": { "key": "high", "label": "High", "estimateMode": "Pentagon-derived opening-surge stress case", "model": "base-plus-ongoing", "knownCostUsd": 11300000000, "knownDays": 6, "ongoingDailyUsd": 1883333333, "whyThisNumber": "Uses the Pentagon-reported opening burn rate from the first six days as a high-side stress case for what costs look like if elevated operating tempo persists.", "warning": "Useful as a ceiling scenario, but very likely too high for a long-run central estimate.", "sources": [ { "label": "Defense News - first six days cost $11.3B", "url": "https://www.defensenews.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/03/12/price-tag-for-epic-fury-tops-11-billion-in-first-six-days-pentagon-tells-congress/", "date": "2026-03-12" } ], "elapsedDays": 117.11396231481481, "ongoingDays": 111.11396231481481, "estimate": 220564628989.19656 } }, "minEstimate": 122413962314.81482, "maxEstimate": 220564628989.19656 }, "archiveIndex": [ { "date": "2026-06-24", "generatedAt": "2026-06-25T02:14:06.715Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-23", "generatedAt": "2026-06-24T02:09:05.642Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-22", "generatedAt": "2026-06-23T02:04:04.940Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-21", "generatedAt": "2026-06-22T01:54:04.460Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-20", "generatedAt": "2026-06-21T01:44:03.720Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "generatedAt": "2026-06-20T01:34:03.034Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-18", "generatedAt": "2026-06-19T01:24:02.562Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-17", "generatedAt": "2026-06-18T01:17:15.978Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-16", "generatedAt": "2026-06-17T01:14:01.061Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-15", "generatedAt": "2026-06-16T01:04:00.399Z", "statusLabel": "Open", "statusTone": "ok", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines are dominated by reopening language without matching attack signals." }, { "date": "2026-06-14", "generatedAt": "2026-06-15T00:58:28.348Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-13", "generatedAt": "2026-06-14T00:48:59.188Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "generatedAt": "2026-06-13T00:43:58.454Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-11", "generatedAt": "2026-06-12T00:41:00.908Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-10", "generatedAt": "2026-06-11T00:33:57.387Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-09", "generatedAt": "2026-06-10T00:28:56.754Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-08", "generatedAt": "2026-06-09T00:22:19.824Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-07", "generatedAt": "2026-06-08T00:09:30.253Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-06", "generatedAt": "2026-06-07T00:03:54.953Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "generatedAt": "2026-06-06T00:00:47.069Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-04", "generatedAt": "2026-06-04T23:56:07.632Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-06-03", "generatedAt": "2026-06-03T23:47:22.015Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-06-02", "generatedAt": "2026-06-02T23:37:55.016Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "As of April 23, 2026, the newest publicly available reporting still points to a badly disrupted Strait of Hormuz. Reuters on April 22 cited UKMTO and maritime security sources after ships were fired upon, while Reuters reporting on April 21 said traffic remained effectively closed in practice. The dashboard keeps a separate warning state whenever reopening language overlaps with violence or seizures." }, { "date": "2026-06-01", "generatedAt": "2026-06-01T23:31:54.196Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-05-31", "generatedAt": "2026-05-31T23:27:53.837Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-30", "generatedAt": "2026-05-30T23:22:38.494Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "generatedAt": "2026-05-29T23:17:37.807Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-26", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T05:08:28.177Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:02:02.810Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "generatedAt": "2026-04-25T00:59:56.220Z", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Recent headlines still talk about reopening or passage, but they also show attacks, seizures, or active maritime violence." }, { "date": "2026-04-23", "generatedAt": "2026-04-24T00:56:39.274Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice." }, { "date": "2026-04-22", "generatedAt": "2026-04-22T20:10:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Gunfire against merchant vessels overlapped with lingering reopening language, producing the dashboard's warning-state phrasing." }, { "date": "2026-04-21", "generatedAt": "2026-04-21T20:05:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Reporting that only three ships passed through the previous 24 hours pushed the dashboard back into practical-closure territory." }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "generatedAt": "2026-04-17T18:15:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Iran publicly said passage was completely open, but security reporting and insurance pricing never returned to normal." }, { "date": "2026-04-15", "generatedAt": "2026-04-15T20:00:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "Mine-clearing estimates and convoy constraints pushed the dashboard back into a practical-closure posture." }, { "date": "2026-04-13", "generatedAt": "2026-04-13T19:30:00-04:00", "statusLabel": "Open, but probably a bad idea to travel as bombs are flying", "statusTone": "warning", "statusSummary": "Public reopening language briefly outran operator confidence. Merchant traffic was inching back, but shipowners still priced the route as a war-risk transit." } ], "headlines": [ { "id": "Mixed messages on Strait of Hormuz create uncertainty for oil - The Hill::Mon, 22 Jun 2026 19:04:00 GMT", "title": "Mixed messages on Strait of Hormuz create uncertainty for oil - The Hill", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxPY3NwOXgtbWg2dzJzWjk1UXFsMGlzdFgyc0NGckEzdlctZzd5OVBnWkNuNzM4Vk1NNDdadDdrSm1Tbl9PNEpKRjhwM1BCY2xhbXUxVGdNNWpsYTJrejY5MTM5S0FJdHRxekYtdU1jUzRSU2VPTnkxZlczNFRNaV8xLWYyUDlWTXfSAYwBQVVfeXFMT1dXVVJEM1JiS1oxWGpWNHRkSWVKT2Ixa2F3cUI2ZTM3ODFaNGR5U3ZUZEhjRVlSRHp4M1N4RDdTdkg2NGtjdC13TUk3WjRhSHpGZUxBb0NpSFhXclVlZlNabWdHWWp5Y3hSOGt0clp1U1ExSHpxUVhkTjZsNnpJQVhBZ0N3c1Q4MUNYRUE?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Mon, 22 Jun 2026 19:04:00 GMT", "description": "Mixed messages on Strait of Hormuz create uncertainty for oil The Hill", "source": "The Hill", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxPY3NwOXgtbWg2dzJzWjk1UXFsMGlzdFgyc0NGckEzdlctZzd5OVBnWkNuNzM4Vk1NNDdadDdrSm1Tbl9PNEpKRjhwM1BCY2xhbXUxVGdNNWpsYTJrejY5MTM5S0FJdHRxekYtdU1jUzRSU2VPTnkxZlczNFRNaV8xLWYyUDlWTXfSAYwBQVVfeXFMT1dXVVJEM1JiS1oxWGpWNHRkSWVKT2Ixa2F3cUI2ZTM3ODFaNGR5U3ZUZEhjRVlSRHp4M1N4RDdTdkg2NGtjdC13TUk3WjRhSHpGZUxBb0NpSFhXclVlZlNabWdHWWp5Y3hSOGt0clp1U1ExSHpxUVhkTjZsNnpJQVhBZ0N3c1Q4MUNYRUE?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "150,000 square feet of barnacles and sea gunk: The latest problem in the Strait of Hormuz - CNN::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 09:00:26 GMT", "title": "150,000 square feet of barnacles and sea gunk: The latest problem in the Strait of Hormuz - CNN", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidEFVX3lxTE0zUVFyMHlXc2dLT2sxZXE3THRiZE53NmRSY3FmUkhHREdJbzc2X1lFQWd5WkloQlROWWZZTXBKX01Ea2lhaWxCVUhXNnNVaXZ2N3J4MzFyNTFudGdvLTQ3SnBRbDJtcHZZTDlpUTRiaW5CRDBI?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 23 Jun 2026 09:00:26 GMT", "description": "150,000 square feet of barnacles and sea gunk: The latest problem in the Strait of Hormuz CNN", "source": "CNN", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidEFVX3lxTE0zUVFyMHlXc2dLT2sxZXE3THRiZE53NmRSY3FmUkhHREdJbzc2X1lFQWd5WkloQlROWWZZTXBKX01Ea2lhaWxCVUhXNnNVaXZ2N3J4MzFyNTFudGdvLTQ3SnBRbDJtcHZZTDlpUTRiaW5CRDBI?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 12:24:00 GMT", "title": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNNG83cHJRdTdzM1FlQ0l5cFFjcV9NMkxqb0luTVdONWZaSThMVWZHb21kSU5KVWJEeEZPT002ZHoyVjNkb2x1SVN0cGlZTklZRndndDFsZTFyanU1a001Rlhnd091Sl9MUHRRd2RLVkVJOHoxYmIzbUZudjNMQVBwSE90MHpkSVlUV2Ntd1lPWDUydw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 23 Jun 2026 12:24:00 GMT", "description": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated The New York Times", "source": "The New York Times", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNNG83cHJRdTdzM1FlQ0l5cFFjcV9NMkxqb0luTVdONWZaSThMVWZHb21kSU5KVWJEeEZPT002ZHoyVjNkb2x1SVN0cGlZTklZRndndDFsZTFyanU1a001Rlhnd091Sl9MUHRRd2RLVkVJOHoxYmIzbUZudjNMQVBwSE90MHpkSVlUV2Ntd1lPWDUydw?oc=5", "openSignals": true, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "medium" }, { "id": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 14:49:00 GMT", "title": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNN2VKZ3l5d2tMS1E5VWFnNHRfNGVQTXBYdG5mN2MwUlpVN2FlT3RBY3JsMHM2OGV2QVFMTW1wbVAwTUhvUjZQQ3JZbFlKclpJcHZ6R09faTZEeW9ucTJHR3l0RHE2dVdqbFVEUGNiQlQ5OGMxS2VPRHYzcVNXU1k5TUl3Vms5ODZONHRpQg?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 23 Jun 2026 14:49:00 GMT", "description": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge Fortune", "source": "Fortune", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNN2VKZ3l5d2tMS1E5VWFnNHRfNGVQTXBYdG5mN2MwUlpVN2FlT3RBY3JsMHM2OGV2QVFMTW1wbVAwTUhvUjZQQ3JZbFlKclpJcHZ6R09faTZEeW9ucTJHR3l0RHE2dVdqbFVEUGNiQlQ5OGMxS2VPRHYzcVNXU1k5TUl3Vms5ODZONHRpQg?oc=5", "openSignals": true, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:41:00 GMT", "title": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxOcU1rLWRFY1QtRzc1bmpkOWxMaTFneTFWeEZXYUl0Mk9ZbVlyQ3I2ckQyVkV3X19KQWRqbGswYVRQdUpjeWVkM0NyU0hpYVZqTEktUG9xS2ZQRlpUZy1WcTRFaUpITFVXaWkxNm02dmFKREFPcG5NUERNUTNuTlV4NDQtNy1BUnV5Z1hOdjJ4MlhWQ3BFUFlObHA0NHIwajFCUDdXM0ZJYkZQUzZkWmhCN296T1ZuTlhnSGdqdWFvRUVBaE9LSmNiT9IBzgFBVV95cUxNaXFpQ2VlUldLZGxmS3lrZmxnclRFUVJ2c2duY1JBUXBpdG9wV2NtVmdIWkd0M1ByX0dSenNQQ1M0Z1VTNzA2VGltRDhWMEQtLWNSSVhYclZPRkZyellIUGl2dlM0VTFiRnN1QmV6WmozVEFnWHN6bTJTemQzbGNTZ1BSQjg3TWpsNGstSG9RbDBUclJDV2doODFVcGpZNGk2endkQkVZMThRV25JS2tUVmQtRFNFQmx4OTEyd21pZnJobHVMV2dkY0p0R1VFQQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:41:00 GMT", "description": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain Fox Business", "source": "Fox Business", "originalLink": "https://news.google.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?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "More stranded oil tankers exit Hormuz, adding to global supply - Reuters::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 11:26:53 GMT", "title": "More stranded oil tankers exit Hormuz, adding to global supply - Reuters", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxOY2o2SGJnYkd2bV9TcjFjLUlZMEUwLU9WdXpkMFpEelVDNGlEZ0xCLUphcFhSWTljR0pmdUgtbVN1LVRFTjAyMThwVWpYWHU3eTlBZENhVDZMOEZBRExnT1pkTmMzc1FUUWxsX0N2QUdNODVENXRvZ1ZqRl9PYnpBZjNfblBKNWpNemJfVlgwM0d2bFFoTjFRZjM5MDB5Rjl5S0pFMW9LUXBfaWtaVXNJ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 11:26:53 GMT", "description": "More stranded oil tankers exit Hormuz, adding to global supply Reuters", "source": "Reuters", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxOY2o2SGJnYkd2bV9TcjFjLUlZMEUwLU9WdXpkMFpEelVDNGlEZ0xCLUphcFhSWTljR0pmdUgtbVN1LVRFTjAyMThwVWpYWHU3eTlBZENhVDZMOEZBRExnT1pkTmMzc1FUUWxsX0N2QUdNODVENXRvZ1ZqRl9PYnpBZjNfblBKNWpNemJfVlgwM0d2bFFoTjFRZjM5MDB5Rjl5S0pFMW9LUXBfaWtaVXNJ?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "VLCC Earnings Near $470,000 a Day as Hormuz Hopes Drive Tanker Frenzy - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:30:00 GMT", "title": "VLCC Earnings Near $470,000 a Day as Hormuz Hopes Drive Tanker Frenzy - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "link": "https://news.google.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?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:30:00 GMT", "description": "VLCC Earnings Near $470,000 a Day as Hormuz Hopes Drive Tanker Frenzy Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "source": "Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com", "originalLink": "https://news.google.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?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Stranded Hormuz seafarers begin mass evacuation operation - UN News::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 13:07:00 GMT", "title": "Stranded Hormuz seafarers begin mass evacuation operation - UN News", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiV0FVX3lxTE5BS3B6NXQyeFNtY3JUTVlKWkxNSVJwblR1SVNqRUZvZ3BjdUwtOFFVTENvTlhZTWNFRldSc1VzS0VFdW56QkRIX2JUX2xDTm54cmg0ZXlCcw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 13:07:00 GMT", "description": "Stranded Hormuz seafarers begin mass evacuation operation UN News", "source": "UN News", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiV0FVX3lxTE5BS3B6NXQyeFNtY3JUTVlKWkxNSVJwblR1SVNqRUZvZ3BjdUwtOFFVTENvTlhZTWNFRldSc1VzS0VFdW56QkRIX2JUX2xDTm54cmg0ZXlCcw?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Rubio says Iran cannot charge tolls in Hormuz: What we know - Al Jazeera::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 14:30:57 GMT", "title": "Rubio says Iran cannot charge tolls in Hormuz: What we know - Al Jazeera", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOVjhZRUctM0lZR0xmS2I5Z1Q0NnZkaHJzZnpnNFBScXB6SkNiTmxPLW03QTdtMVRYUVowV0FSNmNDODE0VGJJcWRlZ0JRMTBEcjloS2pSSWNOb2U4RnlqZVlNM3pMWmYxS3FCVFVwR0c4eTE4TXZ4ZnZXUi1iVThoX09kajFCWUJGRVY4TGRxNS1YQW5CdTRCSi1zVFVXek0t0gGmAUFVX3lxTE1MNm1zZFBIYzk5VTVpbVRvcjJjMUtaOTdJT0drdVdKcmlGXzFnRGVsN0JpY0FpSEJpWkN2R3NjMWE1SWdNY3pkR2tkZ2RRZU1Fa2YxLWRuVkVnSC1ONzUycWkweHdzQkNqVEljeUxjLTZmcUhDTmNMbE5TaE9ZNkN6UGphdWlJU0c2aGUtWk5ldDdBYVdIdXdWem5yTVl2cHlTaEgzSUE?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 14:30:57 GMT", "description": "Rubio says Iran cannot charge tolls in Hormuz: What we know Al Jazeera", "source": "Al Jazeera", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOVjhZRUctM0lZR0xmS2I5Z1Q0NnZkaHJzZnpnNFBScXB6SkNiTmxPLW03QTdtMVRYUVowV0FSNmNDODE0VGJJcWRlZ0JRMTBEcjloS2pSSWNOb2U4RnlqZVlNM3pMWmYxS3FCVFVwR0c4eTE4TXZ4ZnZXUi1iVThoX09kajFCWUJGRVY4TGRxNS1YQW5CdTRCSi1zVFVXek0t0gGmAUFVX3lxTE1MNm1zZFBIYzk5VTVpbVRvcjJjMUtaOTdJT0drdVdKcmlGXzFnRGVsN0JpY0FpSEJpWkN2R3NjMWE1SWdNY3pkR2tkZ2RRZU1Fa2YxLWRuVkVnSC1ONzUycWkweHdzQkNqVEljeUxjLTZmcUhDTmNMbE5TaE9ZNkN6UGphdWlJU0c2aGUtWk5ldDdBYVdIdXdWem5yTVl2cHlTaEgzSUE?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Nearly 20% of Strait of Hormuz traffic is sanctioned ships linked to Iran, data show - New York Post::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 14:45:00 GMT", "title": "Nearly 20% of Strait of Hormuz traffic is sanctioned ships linked to Iran, data show - New York Post", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxPRjFzSWY5M2JJT1R2NUJmWndIX0FWUVlham9NOVBhYUNueTZ0UTZCaV9UMWZJWkJ3X0t4ZWVZLXJNR2ppSS1hQkJKZjNXZEJlWUc4dzBCY0lhYWk5OW53Wk9SUGJ6Z2htNkcwemdZZ3pSUWJ6eWNGSl8tSFQyNjRfRjV2eHJfcFA0Yl9HUy1jMTNkUFJreFRGRUFYcHhiVGRwVWVHT3Q4cTR5SXFkc0ZPSWhwY05QeDVzYUczZUxKTzI2YU0?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 14:45:00 GMT", "description": "Nearly 20% of Strait of Hormuz traffic is sanctioned ships linked to Iran, data show New York Post", "source": "New York Post", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxPRjFzSWY5M2JJT1R2NUJmWndIX0FWUVlham9NOVBhYUNueTZ0UTZCaV9UMWZJWkJ3X0t4ZWVZLXJNR2ppSS1hQkJKZjNXZEJlWUc4dzBCY0lhYWk5OW53Wk9SUGJ6Z2htNkcwemdZZ3pSUWJ6eWNGSl8tSFQyNjRfRjV2eHJfcFA0Yl9HUy1jMTNkUFJreFRGRUFYcHhiVGRwVWVHT3Q4cTR5SXFkc0ZPSWhwY05QeDVzYUczZUxKTzI2YU0?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Ships start sailing through Hormuz under U.N. evacuation scheme, agency says - NBC News::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 18:17:38 GMT", "title": "Ships start sailing through Hormuz under U.N. evacuation scheme, agency says - NBC News", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxOLXZzRUp2RnNiaW1WcGdXNzR1bEszeWNpMEtYR01LWm1ETWotcGh1aXA0VEFlSnFpSXZCMm1IczNZN3V4YXFWcHEwS3MtSHVtS0wtYkc5VEQtYnF5RU5tbVNvbWNmSlpIRTNBTjBMMF9rNTFkWkpsMncyQ2JmQlhNNWU4TkNFSVdSVlg2MGlGNjQ0TGZiTGRxV01KVUE0VzlTNHc?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 18:17:38 GMT", "description": "Ships start sailing through Hormuz under U.N. evacuation scheme, agency says NBC News", "source": "NBC News", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxOLXZzRUp2RnNiaW1WcGdXNzR1bEszeWNpMEtYR01LWm1ETWotcGh1aXA0VEFlSnFpSXZCMm1IczNZN3V4YXFWcHEwS3MtSHVtS0wtYkc5VEQtYnF5RU5tbVNvbWNmSlpIRTNBTjBMMF9rNTFkWkpsMncyQ2JmQlhNNWU4TkNFSVdSVlg2MGlGNjQ0TGZiTGRxV01KVUE0VzlTNHc?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Energy secretary says U.S. has ended Iran's ability to close Strait of Hormuz - CNBC::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 18:46:49 GMT", "title": "Energy secretary says U.S. has ended Iran's ability to close Strait of Hormuz - CNBC", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOVTJ2eENVOHRKU3pxY2p1ZVJfbUxrcGtKaXZsZTBqaTRRZnFhbWZCLVVlYW5qOFdMcVh0MjRzTjVwM3RoOEw3U1VKWDVpVkNQeDdGNTlHSHY5UkNSQlVrWkZtNEpQWmJpUVZvQ0x3VWdVakZ2TUs2UDVBSGpZXzhOenZON3dILTVqSFJjV2ZrQUtFRzTSAZgBQVVfeXFMTTdDY0cxZ3pmVll2NnM4cGVnX1YxbG9weE9Jc1hsRUhZV2t5SjZqTlVzVzYxdW5qRElnc0EwRFhsWmxRTHpaNUlha1BZZjBVU3lFdUtDQ1VkNFUzS1RXV2EwaTMzc2NuOFhtMnp5X3MwYTNnV2FtX3NBd240UDZMd25GUThua3JBelIwOFFmSFdXZWc1akx4LVA?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 18:46:49 GMT", "description": "Energy secretary says U.S. has ended Iran's ability to close Strait of Hormuz CNBC", "source": "CNBC", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOVTJ2eENVOHRKU3pxY2p1ZVJfbUxrcGtKaXZsZTBqaTRRZnFhbWZCLVVlYW5qOFdMcVh0MjRzTjVwM3RoOEw3U1VKWDVpVkNQeDdGNTlHSHY5UkNSQlVrWkZtNEpQWmJpUVZvQ0x3VWdVakZ2TUs2UDVBSGpZXzhOenZON3dILTVqSFJjV2ZrQUtFRzTSAZgBQVVfeXFMTTdDY0cxZ3pmVll2NnM4cGVnX1YxbG9weE9Jc1hsRUhZV2t5SjZqTlVzVzYxdW5qRElnc0EwRFhsWmxRTHpaNUlha1BZZjBVU3lFdUtDQ1VkNFUzS1RXV2EwaTMzc2NuOFhtMnp5X3MwYTNnV2FtX3NBd240UDZMd25GUThua3JBelIwOFFmSFdXZWc1akx4LVA?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "info" }, { "id": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 21:33:27 GMT", "title": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPVGJwUm9MbzR1RUREblM3dEQxcEVsSG11NGVPN1JTczJwY1JhNlIwaDE4MVFrTWo2WWZ6RTI0SlBwNGNEV1pjWlJPZmZLUHZpd3RpWjJZWnJRdlV3akNLR2lrS0N0VlFPRWg5OHc1bVhFdWE1NUhzQW8zRVRVdW1fd1J0bWxtdGFTeVNCV1RR?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Wed, 24 Jun 2026 21:33:27 GMT", "description": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy Council on Foreign Relations", "source": "Council on Foreign Relations", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPVGJwUm9MbzR1RUREblM3dEQxcEVsSG11NGVPN1JTczJwY1JhNlIwaDE4MVFrTWo2WWZ6RTI0SlBwNGNEV1pjWlJPZmZLUHZpd3RpWjJZWnJRdlV3akNLR2lrS0N0VlFPRWg5OHc1bVhFdWE1NUhzQW8zRVRVdW1fd1J0bWxtdGFTeVNCV1RR?oc=5", "openSignals": false, "attackSignals": true, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "high" }, { "id": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming - CNBC::Thu, 25 Jun 2026 02:25:00 GMT", "title": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming - CNBC", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxObkZIRTBhZ25rMnM4bWN3ZnAxYW9MM0NkODZMblBHUUFPQldoVENvYV93UnVLNXhvQ1E2dExkNnFhSXZhal9Sa29xaDRpNVFCWlZHRGEzM0tSdVduR3pMNUplYUY1RmFqTVRBeFhqQ1BmNm1mZWhybmJDUGJ5blAyektRdHVBeFUzQ2dnQndpOWlxbXAtNndZN1FvRWc0SURBUUhqZFIzONIBrAFBVV95cUxPa0FSZzRMSUdzMjdvdEc3R05JRnhkZFFLSk9lUS14ZGxGYm05Q3daajAtSEc2bTF6ei0wSXlNam5YWl9DblUtdXg1a2YzYTlpTktmUy1BcWtyS3hpNE55WXlFQ0RHejgzMXkxSVZUbkxpWmZ5cDdQWVFIb1NnMkptbWtpdjlrOFA2MmE3dEpCei1kNklHa0pUSmdZd2l6RTUybWFjYWFxNjQ4SWxP?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "pubDate": "Thu, 25 Jun 2026 02:25:00 GMT", "description": "Oil prices erase wartime gains as supply concerns ease with Hormuz tanker traffic resuming CNBC", "source": "CNBC", "originalLink": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxObkZIRTBhZ25rMnM4bWN3ZnAxYW9MM0NkODZMblBHUUFPQldoVENvYV93UnVLNXhvQ1E2dExkNnFhSXZhal9Sa29xaDRpNVFCWlZHRGEzM0tSdVduR3pMNUplYUY1RmFqTVRBeFhqQ1BmNm1mZWhybmJDUGJ5blAyektRdHVBeFUzQ2dnQndpOWlxbXAtNndZN1FvRWc0SURBUUhqZFIzONIBrAFBVV95cUxPa0FSZzRMSUdzMjdvdEc3R05JRnhkZFFLSk9lUS14ZGxGYm05Q3daajAtSEc2bTF6ei0wSXlNam5YWl9DblUtdXg1a2YzYTlpTktmUy1BcWtyS3hpNE55WXlFQ0RHejgzMXkxSVZUbkxpWmZ5cDdQWVFIb1NnMkptbWtpdjlrOFA2MmE3dEpCei1kNklHa0pUSmdZd2l6RTUybWFjYWFxNjQ4SWxP?oc=5", "openSignals": true, "attackSignals": false, "closureSignals": false, "severity": "medium" } ], "archiveAutomation": { "ok": true, "status": "skipped", "reason": "live-traffic", "storageMode": "blob", "durable": true, "latestSnapshot": { "date": "2026-06-24", "generatedAt": "2026-06-25T02:14:06.715Z", "statusLabel": "Restricted / effectively closed", "statusTone": "danger", "statusSummary": "The newest reporting points to major disruption, active attacks, and traffic that is still badly constrained in practice.", "headlineHighlights": [ { "title": "Ocean shipping recovery still a ways off despite US-Iran ceasefire pact - Supply Chain Dive", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxQV0Z3RjhFRDY5SS1ZS1Q5dEFMOFBkcHA4dVplcVJzSXpLb1VkSFItVmR6NU5mZFBta2pjTDZCNHVuWWRFVDAyeWZ3cVZXNVhZTlZCc0dkbE5TOHRjc0M1NHZFLWI4TlNFVUluckdLTjRDYkdaNnNYOVdfV3psaHdxOTFadks1NEhHZkJabkNUYTRDVzdzM19IUURMMEx6N21UbTVxTEZ2OXlscTJwMC1WcjZNd2RCSFk?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "source": "Supply Chain Dive" }, { "title": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations", "link": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPVGJwUm9MbzR1RUREblM3dEQxcEVsSG11NGVPN1JTczJwY1JhNlIwaDE4MVFrTWo2WWZ6RTI0SlBwNGNEV1pjWlJPZmZLUHZpd3RpWjJZWnJRdlV3akNLR2lrS0N0VlFPRWg5OHc1bVhFdWE1NUhzQW8zRVRVdW1fd1J0bWxtdGFTeVNCV1RR?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en", "source": "Council on Foreign Relations" } ], "marketSummary": [ { "label": "WTI Front-Month", "value": "$69.24/bbl", "context": "-9.6% versus previous close" }, { "label": "Brent Front-Month", "value": "$72.48/bbl", "context": "-9.2% versus previous close" }, { "label": "VLCC Gulf Day Rate", "value": "$182k/day", "context": "spiking versus pre-war lanes | public live feed not available" } ], "incidents": [ { "id": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations::Wed, 24 Jun 2026 21:33:27 GMT", "date": "2026-06-24", "location": "Westbound lane", "title": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy - Council on Foreign Relations", "summary": "Another Hormuz? The Red Sea’s Threat to the Global Economy Council on Foreign Relations", "severity": "high", "x": 49, "y": 34, "sourceLabel": "Council on Foreign Relations", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPVGJwUm9MbzR1RUREblM3dEQxcEVsSG11NGVPN1JTczJwY1JhNlIwaDE4MVFrTWo2WWZ6RTI0SlBwNGNEV1pjWlJPZmZLUHZpd3RpWjJZWnJRdlV3akNLR2lrS0N0VlFPRWg5OHc1bVhFdWE1NUhzQW8zRVRVdW1fd1J0bWxtdGFTeVNCV1RR?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 12:24:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Eastbound lane", "title": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated - The New York Times", "summary": "Strait Reopens and Iranian Oil Flows, But the Path Through Is Complicated The New York Times", "severity": "medium", "x": 68, "y": 36, "sourceLabel": "The New York Times", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNNG83cHJRdTdzM1FlQ0l5cFFjcV9NMkxqb0luTVdONWZaSThMVWZHb21kSU5KVWJEeEZPT002ZHoyVjNkb2x1SVN0cGlZTklZRndndDFsZTFyanU1a001Rlhnd091Sl9MUHRRd2RLVkVJOHoxYmIzbUZudjNMQVBwSE90MHpkSVlUV2Ntd1lPWDUydw?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 14:49:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Central channel", "title": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge - Fortune", "summary": "The Strait of Hormuz is 'open' — but it's mined, half-empty, and subject to tolls both sides say they might charge Fortune", "severity": "high", "x": 58, "y": 31, "sourceLabel": "Fortune", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxNN2VKZ3l5d2tMS1E5VWFnNHRfNGVQTXBYdG5mN2MwUlpVN2FlT3RBY3JsMHM2OGV2QVFMTW1wbVAwTUhvUjZQQ3JZbFlKclpJcHZ6R09faTZEeW9ucTJHR3l0RHE2dVdqbFVEUGNiQlQ5OGMxS2VPRHYzcVNXU1k5TUl3Vms5ODZONHRpQg?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" }, { "id": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business::Tue, 23 Jun 2026 16:41:00 GMT", "date": "2026-06-23", "location": "Approach to Musandam", "title": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain - Fox Business", "summary": "Oil tanker traffic through Strait of Hormuz hits highest level since conflict began but mines remain Fox Business", "severity": "high", "x": 76, "y": 28, "sourceLabel": "Fox Business", "sourceUrl": "https://news.google.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?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en" } ], "costBand": { "low": "$122.4B", "mid": "$137.4B", "high": "$220.5B" }, "casualties": { "civilian": "1,724+", "military": "1,673+", "mixed": "2,661+" }, "notes": [ "Automated archive snapshot generated from the live dashboard payload.", "This snapshot was persisted server-side so the archive and incident map stay in sync with live updates." ] }, "nextEligibleAt": "2026-06-25T14:14:06.715Z" } }